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Chew the Fat! => IAC & Master Solvers Club => Topic started by: Masse24 on January 02, 2022, 02:04:09 PM

Title: 2022 March MSC
Post by: Masse24 on January 02, 2022, 02:04:09 PM
MARCH 2022 MSC

Deadline: JAN 31 at 11:59 p.m. (ET)

Submit your MARCH MSC responses here: The Bridge World - MASTER SOLVERS CLUB (https://www.bridgeworld.com/pages/msc/mscentercontest.html)

BWS 2017 System: BWS 2017 (https://www.bridgeworld.com/indexphp.php?page=/pages/readingroom/bws/bwscompletesystem.html)
BWS 2017 POLLS, CHANGES AND ADDITIONS: BWS 2017 - Polls, Changes, and Additions (https://www.bridgeworld.com/indexphp.php?page=/pages/readingroom/bws/bwspolls2017.html)


IAC Forum MSC Scores (https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1whamPj4_SDF3cbYUdGL9dpMX23tpwzUJzUvNoVmip_w/edit?usp=sharing)


*     *     *

Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: blubayou on January 04, 2022, 08:24:15 PM
problem A:  xxx, Axx, xx, AQxxx.  Do we really have 9 clubs,  and they really  9  [or 10!] diamonds??   Then the LAW suggests we go on to 4 Clubs:  ( total number of trumps being 18= either they are making ,  or if holdable to 8 [7] tricks then we will make.  I have the sick feeling the TNT number is lower than this, or the the TNT guideline is off the rails this time, and we are both going set :( .    But for now...     Four Clubs.

problem B is the flip side of problem A:  On A,  I would instinctively leave in the double but THE LAW  says this is rash and I should 'take out my partner's takeout doubles".   On B bidding my hearts over the balancing double seems so normal and natural  BUT!...the LAW of Total TRUMPS  comes up with  AT BEST 8 plus 8  (and given the vulnerability  they may be in a 6-1 fit, too).  My  Yoda  says, "both sides bidding to the 3-level when the Law-number is 16 = somebody screwed up!"  One bad thing that can happen by not making the obvious 3 !H  takeout,  is that pard has a raise for us to the vulnerable game, that will obviously make :( ,  Well if the LAW is  working correctly, and we make ten tricks, then they deserve only six--so  I loose 3 IMPs
    All alone, except for HOKI  [side bet]  I  ---Pass, for blood---

Am I lost..  Here are two puzzles that do not seem to have a third possible answer.  Somebody get busy please and correct my tunnel-vision problem!   They JUST DON"T DO THIS (deliberately) 
  THANKS, Peuco;  "3NT"  on B will certainly get votes, along with "3H" and "pass".


for problem C,  do we need something sexier than plain old 4 Hearts on void, Kxxxx, x, AKJxxxx?  Probably yes,  but for starters, that's my bid   ---Four Hearts---

problem D:  More about this jewel later, but know that pard has the best hand at the table and is sitting on opp's hearts.  I credit THEM  with  10 points  facing 6,and  not fitting anywhere.   Hmm--where will this belief lead us?    ....................................         ---?---

problem E:  Five to seven point hands are allowed to pass when partner jump rebids his suit,  but that Qxx in her suit will not be denied!                     ---3 NT ---
problem F:   - - - - - - - -   watch this space;  (HELP!)

problem G:   
[moved]
  Somehow  the existence of this gadget slipped past me,  but I do remember bidding a forcing notrump and feeling endplayed by this 2NT from partner with my garbage hand containing 6 hearts,  as rebidding 3H would force partner between raising and going on to 3NT, so I should have expected some mad scientist to invent transfers here.
  P.S.  WHAT would "3H" by responder transfer to? --  four clubs?  or opener's spade suit?  Inquiring minds want to know.
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: FleuretteD on January 08, 2022, 03:15:44 PM
hello everyone

I made my answers sorry cannot explain much in english.
Your Solutions for the March 2022 Contest
-------------------
PROBLEM A: 4 Clubs
PROBLEM B: 4 Hearts
PROBLEM C: 2 Hearts
PROBLEM D: 3 Clubs
PROBLEM E: 3 Notrump
PROBLEM F: 3 Clubs
PROBLEM G: 3 Notrump
PROBLEM H: Club Ace
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: peuco on January 09, 2022, 05:57:29 PM
A. 3H Pd can have 5 and i have made a lot of Xs with only 2 Cs to receive "wishy foolish" C bids
B. tilting towards 3NT as opposed to 4H. When non vul vs vul they preempt on nothing and six carders
C. 5H Pd: if you have good Hs bid 6
D. why Pd did not X previously? i do not see good HCP bec he has probably 3 Ss and he did not X. Only way to good HCP is he has 5 Hs, not very likely. My hand seems suited for defense so i Pass
E. 3NT what else ?
F. BWS does not allow me to X for penalties so: 3NT
G. D 10. 4D seems a phony bid to me. Both opps bidding cautiously and suddenly 4D ?
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: peuco on January 12, 2022, 07:33:50 PM
thanks Blu

G. 4H
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: veredk on January 21, 2022, 05:39:58 PM
A-3H, staying low, if partner bids 3S I will pass
B-pass, leave the X in. With flat hands defend
C- 2S, support for Hearts (I hope), need to make a forcing bid
D- pass,
E- 3NT, hopeful
F- 3NT
G- 4H, partner limited himself
H- 10D, a passive lead
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: yleexotee on January 25, 2022, 04:48:11 AM
Here is my first run at these:
A - 5C  pard's X at the 3 level surely shows a bit more than minimum, 4C would be promising zero, so I'm taking my shot.
B- 4H same as A, finding game with 10 points. These aren't always going to make but I'll take my chances over the ops preempts these days
C - 2S Presumabely, this is a good heart raise. MSC has not been kind to these kinds of bids, but its what I would do in real life to see if we have slam or something.
D - I actually wrote down Pass  ??
E - and then it happened again  Pass ??
F - 2nt or 3C, really not sure on this one, but leaning toward the 2nt
G - 3H seems like a normal bid, since they are telling us that is a transfer. so....must be wrong. 4h?
H - was thinking A of C first, but then also wrote 10 of D
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: kenberg on January 25, 2022, 02:31:05 PM
I am just getting started but I am also thinking of 5C on A.
A TO doubler assumes his partner has some values, if he always took the pessimistic view he would never get into the auction. So I must bid with this in mind, and ask myself whether I have more than pard is expecting for his TO X. It seems to me that I do have more. But is it enough more? A close call, I think.

If I bid 4C, partner is going to pass, almost certainly. He has forced me to bid, my 4C says I have some clubs, that's it. So it's up to me, I can bid 4C and play in 4C, or I can bid 5C and play in 5C.

I have this coin I might flip.
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: peuco on January 25, 2022, 04:49:19 PM
SOLUTIONS FOR:
Francisco

PROBLEM A: 3 Hearts
PROBLEM B: 3 Hearts
PROBLEM C: 5 Hearts
PROBLEM D: Pass
PROBLEM E: 3 Notrump
PROBLEM F: 3 Notrump
PROBLEM G: 4 Hearts
PROBLEM H: Diamond 10
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: jcreech on January 27, 2022, 11:06:02 AM
I don't know what the problem is, but I have struggled to get onto (or stay on) the pigpen site recently.

Problem A:  4 !C  I have played this form of two-bid (when I do, we call them action twos).  They can be very effective and hard to bid defensively on.  So I hate coming up against the bid, as I am here.  Partner has doubled, I suspect we are just shy of game values.  I cannot show strength and keep us out of game, so I have to guess between a possible Moysian, when there may be a 5-3 major-suit fit, 3NT without holding the stopper myself, or bid 4 !C and hope partner converts with five in one of the majors.

Problem B:  3 !H  This is one of the worst 10-counts that I have seen.  I am not trotting 3 NT on a J-fourth stopper, and not jumping to 4 !H on a potential Moysian with bad breaks.  If we belong higher, maybe partner has the extras to make the move.

Problem C:  2 !S  My first inclinations were 6 and then 5 !H - the first to bid what I think we can make, the second to hopefully get some cooperation from partner.  However, I think the right thing to do is cue-bid and hope partner doesn't think I am exposing a psyche. 

Problem D:  Pass  Who knows what is going on.  It sounds like partner has hearts and values.  I certainly do not have a penalty double of diamonds, and I don't think partner is inviting me to bid.

Problem E: Pass Partner is not using my bid as a springboard to 3NT and did not manufacture a reverse, so I think it is time to pull in my horns and go quietly.

Problem F:  Pass  Why do I feel like I am in deja vu situation?  Here I am in a non-forcing pass auction, thinking that I want partner to reopen with a double - just like last month.  Oh, but I doubled last month because it should have been clear that it was not "cooperative-takeout" like it is this time.

Problem G: 4 !H  Partner is generally showing long hearts and a weak hand, but not that weak - with club shortness and nice heart fillers, let's give the vulnerable game at imps a shot.

Problem H:  !C A  RHO sounds short in clubs, so maybe this is the time to lay down an ace for a peak.  The !D 10 is my backup plan - hopefully passive.  Both majors look wrong to me.
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: kenberg on January 27, 2022, 01:51:33 PM
I also was wondering about the site. Since I could get onto BBO and other sites the problem presumably wasn't my computer, although strange tings happen with tech these days. I checked with others and, no surprise, they were having trouble too so I figured I would just wait it out.

With A, I earlier guessed 5C although I did not much like it. Now I am thinking of 4D. What should partner make of this? Could I really be 4-4 in the majors? I passed 2D but now, after 3D on my left and a pass on my right, I have decided to force to game. If the auction had been an opening bid of 3D on my left, double by pard, pass on my right and 4D by me, pard will think I have both majors at least until I do something surprising at my next call. But here he has to reconcile this with my pass on the first round.

I don't think he can work out that I am 3=3=2=5, he would need esp (or a hidden camera) for that, but if by any chance he has four clubs he might decide 5C is a good choice. Mostly he could well have had a five card major, say 5=4=1=3, and double 3D. Bidding 4D now keeps that chance open. Since I passed first round, I am trusting he will not now decide to bid 6 of something.


I think it's a tough problem. I think all MSC problems are tough problems, even those that at firstdon't look tough.
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: blubayou on January 27, 2022, 05:12:26 PM
PROBLEM G:>> Any crappy response that includes Qxxxxx in hearts  will have at least a PLAY  for 4 !H , and many where the north trumps are all small. That lets out our 3 !H  rebid.   At the other end of possibilities,  how about : void, Qxxxxx, Kxxx, Axx? or slightly better?  In this case,  our rebid needs to be "4 !D ", and off to the races.   Yes--this wrongsides the transfer when north can only croak "4 !H ",  but perhaps is club holding needs protection as much as our diamonds do.  Perhaps. 
  As I write this, I notice that when his hearts are ACE-sixth,  the rest of his hand will be useless trash,  if he was intending to transfer and drop us in 3, and then I will be sorry, especially if there is a trump looser  :(
                                          ..anyway     ---Four  !D ---
PROBLEM H:> What Jim said above      ---Club Ace---
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: Masse24 on January 27, 2022, 06:12:08 PM
PROBLEM G:>> Any crappy response that includes Qxxxxx in hearts  will have at least a PLAY  for 4 !H , and many where the north trumps are all small. That lets out our 3 !H  rebid.   At the other end of possibilities,  how about : void, Qxxxxx, Kxxx, Axx? or slightly better?  In this case,  our rebid needs to be "4 !D ", and off to the races.   Yes--this wrongsides the transfer when north can only croak "4 !H ",  but perhaps is club holding needs protection as much as our diamonds do.  Perhaps. 
  As I write this, I notice that when his hearts are ACE-sixth,  the rest of his hand will be useless trash,  if he was intending to transfer and drop us in 3, and then I will be sorry, especially if there is a trump looser  :(
                                          ..anyway     ---Four  !D ---
PROBLEM H:> What Jim said above      ---Club Ace---

Somebody tackle me! Though I am not convinced it's best, I actually sorta like Blu's 4 !D.  :o :o :o
But bidding 4 !H right-sides and conveys similar information, without pinpointing my hole in clubs. So I'll probably still go with 4 !H.
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: duffer66 on January 27, 2022, 09:42:09 PM

duffer66
PROBLEM A: 4 Clubs
PROBLEM B: Pass
PROBLEM C: 4 Hearts
PROBLEM D: 3 Clubs
PROBLEM E: 3 Notrump
PROBLEM F: 3 Diamonds
PROBLEM G: 3 Notrump
PROBLEM H: Heart 2
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: hoki on January 28, 2022, 06:17:57 AM
A 4, with less I'd try and sign off in a major; this allows pard to bid four
of a major while inviting 5.

B 3, it's not inconceivable that the opponents can make their contract
if partner is balancing aggressively with a diamond singleton or void.

C 2, we are far too strong to sign off in game, so I'm going slowly
but have no idea how the auction will actually proceed but I can certainly follow up
with a club cue bid later - and if that is going to torture partner, then so be it.

D Pass, I would normally double but BWS's modern system doesn't allow
us to make this most flexible of bids.

E Pass, my hand made a minimum response and opener's jump is clearly
based on a distributional hand. I don't have more than what I said.

F 3, maybe I'm overlooking something but this looks to be obvious.

G 3, doing what pard asked for.

H 10, pretty much by elimination.
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: kenberg on January 28, 2022, 02:47:46 PM
I have been amusing myself, sort of, with A. I think that N should not be a minimal 13 count to X at the 3 level, if that's what he had he could pass and see if I want to balance in the pass out seat. Passing, as I did, on the first round and then making a balancing X is not out of the question if I have the right hand. Here I don't have the right hand.

Anyway. I made up a lay-out that is perhaps optimistic but here it is:

The N hand, as I chose it:


!S AK98
!H KQ87
!D 76
!C K52



!S 765
!H A94
!D T3
!C AQ987


I then gave EW cards such I could imagine E opening 2 !D and W raising to 3 and gave the hand to the robots.
The auction did indeed begin 2 !D - Pass - 3 !D - X - Pass

The robot passed the double, the result was 3 !D X off 2.

I then imposed the following on the robots. As S, on the second round, I bid 4 !D in response to the X,

Of course N then bid 4 !H passed out.

I gave W a 3=4=3=3 shape. Surely N, in 4 !H, has to be prepared for a 4-2 split in trump. The robot was down 1 but could have, and I think should have, made it. The defense was two rounds of !D and then a switch to !S. N took it, cashed three rounds of !H,  and went down. Better if, after he takes the !S switch, he immediately ducks a !H. He can then win the next trick, draw trump, run clubs.

Interestingly, despite the 8 card club fit and the 7 card heart fit, and the 3-2 cub split and the 4-2 heart split, 4 !H makes (can make) and, as near as I can see, 5 !C doesn't. They take the first two !D and then wait for a !S. Declarer could hope for a ! S - ! H squeeze, but it's not there.

Quick summary:

The robot, with the given hand and the given auction, passed the X and they set it two tricks. So the bot's entry in the MSC is to pass. With the four hands as I laid the out, 4 !H can be made but wasn't, and 4 !C makes on the nose.

Added: I note that LOTT world here. We make 10 tricks in our 8 card !C fit, they make 7 tricks in their 9 card !D fit. I suppose I might think about the possibility that they have a ten card !D fit, pard having a stiff.
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: Masse24 on January 28, 2022, 04:48:28 PM
On the lead problem, no one has yet mentioned the viability of a trump lead. Dummy will have, at most, a doubleton spade. I worry about losing the tempo required to reduce the cross ruffs. But leading a stiff trump is high on the list of "never do it."

So I dunno. Maybe best to retreat to the safety of a diamond.

As an afterthought, I should add that I hate lead problems.

Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: bAbsG on January 28, 2022, 07:49:53 PM
SOLVER: Babs Giesbrecht  Canada

Your Solutions for the March 2022 Contest 
-------------------
PROBLEM A: 4 Diamonds
PROBLEM B: 3 Hearts
PROBLEM C: 3 Spades
PROBLEM D: Pass
PROBLEM E: Pass
PROBLEM F: Pass
PROBLEM G: 4 Hearts
PROBLEM H: Diamond 10
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: msphola on January 28, 2022, 10:01:39 PM
A.  4H
B.  3N
C. 2S
D. 2S
E. P
F. 3C
G. 4H
H. 2H
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: wackojack on January 29, 2022, 11:56:28 AM
Problem A

I discount west having a 5 card major because with decent cards in those suits it is better to overcall with 5 unless very strong.  West is most likely to have 4 ♦s for the raise.  This would give opps a 9 or 10 card ♦ fit.  If 10 card fit then partner has a singleton ♦ but perhaps more likely a doubleton ♦.  So partner’s distribution is most likely 4423 or perhaps 4414.  If 4423 the total tricks are 8+9 =17 and if say we can make 4♣ then opps are 2 off in 3♦.  OTOH if opps have a 10 card ♦ fit partner is much more likely to have 4 club cards.  Then total tricks =10 +9 =19.  Then if we can make 4♣ opps can make 3♦.  Also, if we can make 5♣, opps are only 1 off in 3♦. 

So do we go for:
Pass?  Likely a top if correct and a zero if wrong
4♣?  Likely av+ if just making and av- if down or 5♣ makes.
5♣?  Top or bottom again
I think we need to have table feel for the opps to know the correct answer.  I would like to pass the double but if it did happen to make I can just see the look of accusations in partner’s face
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: kenberg on January 29, 2022, 12:42:04 PM
I think a 5=4=1=3 shape is possible. It's true that X could lead to missing a 5-3 spade fit but it is also true that bidding 3 !S could lead to missing a 4-4 heart fit. Holding a good three cards in clubs I might reason that if pard has four cards in either major the double will be fine, and if he lacks four cards in either major then he might well have five clubs. Maybe, maybe not, but since the short diamonds are in my hand this might play well in clubs.

Still, while I think it is possible for partner to have five spades or five hearts, he usually won't.

I was discussing this hand while drinking gin and quarks with the robots, and they are thinking pass. I'm still just thinking. I think I have ruled out the jump to 5 !C.
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: blubayou on January 29, 2022, 09:43:21 PM
Problem A:   This will not be a good day for opps'  2-bid  treatment     
                                                  PASS
Problem B:   Just WILL NOT bid 3 over 3 when both sides have max of 8 trumps.
                                                   PASS          
Probelm C:   Jim's worry that "2 !S "   may be taken as natural  is justified-- because it IS.  If we want to cue bid then we're stuck with  "2D". West doesn't have to have deliberately PSYCHED,  for spades to be our trump suit after all.                                     Four Hearts
Problem D:   Partner is loaded, but very unprepared for one minor suit from me (no 1NT overcall)... I am betting the ranch that suit is clubs-->       DOUBLE
Problem E:   In the 1950's,  Shenken wrote in his book debuting 'the Big Club'  "If your system cannot get you to 3NT with a running 6-carder plus 3 aces,  revise that system!"   What I see here is close enough for me to  that kind of 3NT                             Three Notrump
Problem F:   I expect I will have to fight off  a heart rebid  from partner, so let's let him get that out of his system at the 3-level by bidding 3C now.  Then my 3NT may be left in peace.  It's not all rosy, though--imagine 3C  going swish, and dummy coming with a perfectly ordinary ...x, J9xxx, Axx, Axxx!  Down 1  in  7 clubs--ouch.                                              Three Clubs

Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: blubayou on January 29, 2022, 11:17:09 PM
Quote from: blubayou link=topic=556.msg4341#msg4341 date=164132785
[b
problem G:  I EXPECT that the #1 purpose for playing 3C or 3D or 3H as transfers is to be able to drop the 18-19 pt. hand in part score. (there are no WJS's to the3-level in BWS).  No doubt the other purpose is to offer choices among one or two other suits or Notrump for game or even slam (funny to think of slamming by a sub-opener facing 18 balanced,  but heyy!).[/b]
   If we accept this purpose #1,  are we willing to just accept the transfer and  be left in 3H?  If so then our answer in G is  "3H";  if not,  will the answer be 4H,  or something else  eg: 4Diamonds?
                                                     yes -->  Four diamonds


Problem H:  Play to shorten declarers trump that lurk over our partner's holding.  If they will be playing a full-on crossruff,  maybe having to start by club ruffs  will ruin the timing a little--or a whole lot.
                                                Club Ace
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: Masse24 on January 29, 2022, 11:30:04 PM
MARCH GUESSES:

PROBLEM A: 4 Clubs
PROBLEM B: 3 Notrump
PROBLEM C: 4 Diamonds
PROBLEM D: Pass
PROBLEM E: 3 Notrump
PROBLEM F: 3 Clubs
PROBLEM G: 4 Hearts
PROBLEM H: Club Ace



A: 4 !C. I know the panel is aggressive, so am a little concerned about 4 !D appealing to the panel. But I’m not going to bury partner for competing. So 4 !C.
B. 3NT. Whisper from Hamman.
C. 4 !D. Splinter now. Later, maybe spades. Fun hand.
[Added] - I'm concerned that the 3 !D jump-reverse will be the preferred splinter since 4 !D should really show a void. Might be a good choice for anyone who has not yet submitted.
D. Pass. Difficult choice. What could partner have? Opps do not have a heart fit, so I assume three hearts with partner. No direct seat double, so probably not four spades. Is partner 33(43)? Opener must then be approximately 4522? Partner should have at least three clubs. So we have a fit. But if it’s only 5-3, do I want to play it at the three level?
E. 3NT. WTP? Partner should have !C AKJxxx at a minimum for the jump in clubs. Staring at the queen in my hand means they run. Crossing fingers (hey, it works) partner has the red suits controlled.
F. 3 !C. Pass feels wrong. Hate the void. 3 !C is an underbid of sorts, but what else?
G. 4 !H. Have a ruffing value, so the jump is warranted. Playing in 3 !H is too risky to simply reply at the three level. Anything stronger (I did contemplate 4 !D) is unwarranted.
H. !C A. I also like the underlead of my !C AQxxx. Certainly the hero lead if partner has Kx. But I have no guts. I hate lead problems!
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: ccr3 on January 29, 2022, 11:30:33 PM
​Your Solutions for the March 2022 Contest
-------------------
PROBLEM A: 4 Clubs   
PROBLEM B: 4 Hearts   
PROBLEM C: 2 Spades.
PROBLEM D: Pass         
PROBLEM E: Pass         
PROBLEM F: 3 Clubs     
PROBLEM G: 4 Hearts   
PROBLEM H: Heart 2     
                                   
                                   
                               
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: kenberg on January 30, 2022, 04:01:26 PM
Probable choices
A: Pass
B: 3H
C: 2D
D: Pass
E: 3NT
F: 5C
G: 3H
H: Club A

Some  thoughts:

A: Pass. It's matchpoints. I think the probability of making a game is less than 50-50, I think the probability of taking five tricks against 3D is better than 50-50. One of the problems about going for game is that even if there is a making game somewhere it is far from clear that we can sort out where it is.

B: 3H Partner's balancing double is based on the assumption/hope that I have something. I have something, but not all that much more than something.

C: 2D This auction will be competitive. I am prepared to bid hearts at the 5 level if need be and I am thinking that bidding 4H and then, later, 5H doesn't do justice to this hand. There is a question of hat various bids mean. It seems to me that if the auction begins 1 !C - (1 !D) - X - (1 !S) then double by opener of the 1 !S should say "Had my Rho not come in here, I would have been pleased to bid 1 !S. Suppose I have, say, a 12 or 13 count and a decent four card spade suit. If that spade bid on my left is real, I don't really want to play in 2 !S and get a 5-0 trump split. It seems better to just have X show that 13 count with four spades. Partner will then cope.

D: Pass. What's up? First, who has four spades? Partner I think. With long !D and four !S I think E would have bid 1 !S rather than 1NT. W might have four !S but he has five !H so, while possibly he has four, my guess it is partner that does. Now what about the hearts? on this auction, with my three card !H holding, it seems pard must have at least three !H and my guess is four. I only have two !D. Maybe that have a bunch but if they do they will probably go on to 3 !D over my 3 !C, and if they don't have a lot of !D then pard has some, and that doesn't give him many clubs. I suppose he has three for his double, but that doesn't mean we should compete to 3 !C. my guess is his shape is 4=4=2=3 with modes values. I'm for letting them play 2 !D

E: 3NT Well, it's imps. Nobody vul but still it's 400 if it makes. At matchpoints I would pass. Probably less than a 50% shot of making.

F: 5 !C.  Again, what's going on. I have no hearts. I am betting pard has five or six. And so too weak to bid 2 !H. Probably at most one !S. We should have a minor suit fit and a play for 5m. I suppose I could be cautious and bid only 4 !C,  Maybe I will. I'll think about it.

G: 3 !H. How many hearts does that 3 !D bid show? No need to be sure just yet. I have three !H and if pard raises 3 !H to 4 !H maybe that's right even if he has only four. The opponents can cash a couple of clubs after which I could well have ten tricks. If over 3 !H pard bids 3NT I will assume he has only four hearts and thinks that unless I have four hearts we should give it a shot in 3NT.

H: The !C A. Declarer will be tossing some minors on his spades, I think we need to get all the minor suit tricks that we can and then we see what we get in hearts. I might think more about this also, but the !C A seems right.
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: wackojack on January 30, 2022, 07:42:00 PM
Problem B
Imps
North-South vulnerable
You, South, hold:
♠ Q J 3   ♥ A 8 7 2   ♦ J 7 4 3   ♣ Q 6
SOUTH   WEST   NORTH   EAST
——   ——   ——   3 ♦
Pass   Pass   Double   Pass
 ?         
Partner is fairly likely to have a singleton diamond giving west also a singleton ♦.  I can then see 4♥ making giving partner say ♠ K10xx, ♥KQxx, ♦x, ♣AJxx. OTOH if partner has made the take-out double with a doubleton say 4423 distribution then 3♥ is likely the limit and 3♦ is likely going off 1.  Since we are vul and the opps not  I will take the low road and go for 3♥.  If partner has 4414 distribution and say ♠Kxxx, ♥ KQxx, ♦ x, ♣ AKxx that she will raise to 4♥.








Problem C
Imps
Neither side vulnerable
You, South, hold:
♠ —   ♥ K 9 6 4 3   ♦ 7   ♣ A K J 10 6 5 3
SOUTH   WEST   NORTH   EAST
1 ♣   1 ♦   Double*   1 ♠
 ?         
*BWS: at least four-four in the majors
We need an exclusion keycard ask where ♠ are excluded.  I don’t think 4♠ would be taken as such.  I would love to bid  6♥ now and partner turns up with a perfectly ordinary ♠ 10xxx, ♥AQJx, ♦Ax, ♣ Qxx  so missing the grand
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: kenberg on January 31, 2022, 01:10:52 AM
Ok, maybe I was too quick with G: 1 !S - 1NT - 2NT - 3 !D, and the note says BWS: hearts.
I took that to mean 4+ hearts.  But perhaps it means 5+ hearts. I looked at the BWS 2017 and I don't see it discussed.
Of course if he has 5 he wants to know if I have 2 or 3.
But we could play that if I have 2 I rebid 3NT so 3 !H promises 3.
I guess it depends on what 3 !C means. If 3 !C is Stayman then presumably that 3 !D call of his showed 5.

I prefer a nice simple system. After 1 !S - 1NT-2NT all calls are natural and forcing. But if we are playing something more exotic I would like a fuller explanation than "BWS: hearts."

I think I do not deny four hearts with 1 !S - 1NT - 2NT. 

This requires some thought. I am now thinking of bidding 4 !H. And then, after the hand, we can decide what "BWS: hearts" means for when it comes up again.
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: blubayou on January 31, 2022, 02:42:30 AM
Hi, Ken:    As you consider, factor in that 3C, 3D AND 3 HEARTS[!?!]  are all transfers.. I KNOW  it's in print where it ought to be--because seeing it astonished me.   So  3D  is a TRANSFER,  not a check-back for 4 --or even three-- hearts.   If you don't buy my ranting that her intention MAY be to bail in a  (6/7-2 fit) partial,  then  via con Dios, compadre,  but this is not a gadget letting us get away  with  raising the 5-11 1NT to two  when  5=4 in the majors
   Bulletin  BWS section G--about halfway down : " One of a major — one notrump — two notrump is invitational; responder's continuation of three of a suit other than opener's is a transfer." 
This appears to include     "1 !H  , 1NT; 2NT, 3 !S " -- Can hardly wait for a  quiz question  using that little bugger!
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: blubayou on January 31, 2022, 08:47:33 AM
My WINNING VOTES from Hell list..
A:  Their 'Action Two'  is a 6-4 thing of beauty [would make]  AND north does have 9 major cards  "3 !H "=100
B:  Opps'  !D s are 7-2  with K9 in dummy, so they pick off my 'stopper' and make. 3 !H also makes "3 !H "=100
C: Do NOT know what winning vote would be a horror, But WackoJack did find a layout where we're sacrificing over their Spade slam.  I guess, for me, having the panel accept(let alone like) 2 !S  as a cue is horror  "2 !S " =80
D: We do have 11+14 HCP but no 3NT or 5 !C  Both side's minors are decent fits so 3 !D -100 looses to 3 !C 130
E:      ..................No horror result on this one  3NT is ice,  and the panel knows it.   .........                 3NT=100
F: Jumping in clubs leads to slam.  Arranging to get to 3NT by any route gets no respect from panel      4 !C =100
G: Obeying orders wins over superaccept or anything else one thinks of--A horror thought for me          3 !H =100
H: opp's 4 !D  is declared an attempted swindle--to get some fool to open up clubs.  WTG, Zia!             !D 10=100


SOLUTIONS FOR: Jock McQuade 3 Bag End Hobbiton The Shire
PROBLEM A: Pass              PROBLEM B: Pass      PROBLEM C: 4 Hearts        PROBLEM D: Double 
PROBLEM E: 3 Notrump  PROBLEM F: 4 Clubs PROBLEM G: 4 Diamonds PROBLEM H: Club Ace
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: Masse24 on January 31, 2022, 01:41:09 PM
[/color][/i] !H  , 1NT; 2NT, 3 !S " -- Can hardly wait for a  quiz question  using that little bugger!
Impossible.
Not gonna happen without a special agreement.
Speaking of which, a three-card limit-raise with shortage would be a cool use for it. 3NT would then ask where, with LMH responses. But otherwise . . .
Impossible.

Thinking about it further. I suppose, strictly speaking, that if it is defined as a transfer to clubs, then that's what it is. But in this exact auction, can someone please construct a hand that would bid this way? Especially since 1M - 3 !C is invitational?

I still think the term "impossible" applies.  ;)
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: kenberg on January 31, 2022, 01:53:16 PM
Hi, Ken:    As you consider, factor in that 3C, 3D AND 3 HEARTS[!?!]  are all transfers.. I KNOW  it's in print where it ought to be--because seeing it astonished me.   So  3D  is a TRANSFER,  not a check-back for 4 --or even three-- hearts.   If you don't buy my ranting that her intention MAY be to bail in a  (6/7-2 fit) partial,  then  via con Dios, compadre,  but this is not a gadget letting us get away  with  raising the 5-11 1NT to two  when  5=4 in the majors
   Bulletin  BWS section G--about halfway down : " One of a major — one notrump — two notrump is invitational; responder's continuation of three of a suit other than opener's is a transfer." 
This appears to include     "1 !H  , 1NT; 2NT, 3 !S " -- Can hardly wait for a  quiz question  using that little bugger!

I missed that! I saw the "One of a major — one notrump — two notrump is invitational" under opener's rebids and didn't look at the next part, I skipped down to "later actions".

Ok, So now it's settled, I bid 4 !H. My hearts could be Kx or even Jx for my 2NT call, my hand has gotten better not worse, so 4 !H it is.


Bidding is some combination of agreements and judgment, and sometimes just hoping for the best. There were more than the usual number of hands this month where I was not so sure I understood the calls or the possible choices for my call.
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: kenberg on January 31, 2022, 02:11:26 PM
Todd's response came up while I was writing mine. If BWS says 1 !H - 1NT - 2NT - 3 !S a transfer to clubs then so be it.

I played my first hand of rubber bridge in 1961. At that time, a bid meant whatever Charles Goren said it meant. I got busy and didn't play much for quite a while but in the late 70s. My partner handed me a copy of Five Card Majors Western Style by Hardy. So fine, playing with her bids meant whatever Hardy said they meant. I have also played that bids mean whatever X says they mean where X has been Bergen, or Lawrence, or Steve Robinson. And SAYC, which isn't horrible. Oh, and when I play with the robots the bids mean whatever the robots say they mean. Robots are stubborn about that.

I often but not always prefer fairly natural bidding. I play sometimes with one person, other times with someone else, other times with another someone else and I don't want to have to cope with learning a different system of artificial calls for each of them.
 Here we have a contest so fine, I use whatever they tell me to use. I just missed it this time.

An interesting feature about 1 !S -1NT - 2NT - 3 !H being a trf to !C: In BWS the auction 1 !S - 3 !C is natural and invitational, the sort of hand where a non-2/1 player would probably have the auction go 1 !S - 2 !C - 2 something - 3 !C passable. So 1 !S -1NT - 2NT - 3 !H does not show six clubs and a ten count, that hand goes 1 !S - 3 !C.
It seems to me that 1 !S -1NT - 2NT - 3 !H  is not going to happen very often. Six clubs and an 8 count? Or six clubs and a 6 count? I want to play this where? I suppose it happens, maybe every ten years or so.
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: kenberg on January 31, 2022, 02:43:44 PM
A couple of other confusing points from this month.

On H the auction went

1 !S 1NT
2 !H 3 !H
4 !D 4 !H

What is 4 !D? Ok, back up to what was 3 !H? After 1 !S - 1NT - 2 !H it could be that NS have a !H fit, n has an 11 count, S has a 17 count. Or 18 count. It also could be that N has a 6 count and S has a 12 count.And anywhere in-between. Maybe we clearly want to play in 4 !H, maybe we clearly don't, and maybe we need 3 !H to be invitational with, say, a 10 count.

Now if 3 !h is invitational, what is 4 !D? Is S saying "Well, 2 !H was passable, and 3 !H was invitational,  but now that we have found this fit let's bid a slam"? Possible, but another case of not likely. But I suppose that's what it was.



And then there is C:
1 !C - 1 !D - X - 1 !S.

Now on this hand I, opening with 1 !C,  have a spade void but consider a hand where my shape is 4=2=3=4 and I have a 14 count. Yes, I would like to show my spades, partly because the 1 !S could be a fake bid but mostly because I have them so I would like to show them. But the 1 !S could be for real, probably is for real in most games, pard's X showed both major bu xxxx is a major and pard could have an 8 count or probably could have a six count. I can't say that I want to bid a natural 2 !S here. And we could use X to show this. I don't need X to show hearts. If I have four hearts I can bid 2 !H. My opponents have not claimed they have length in hearts and 2 !H should show the heart fit and a hand that is not totally minimal. With a 12 count I could pass. 1 !S is not apt to end the auction and there is a good chance I will be able to bid 2 !H next round saying "Yes I have a !H fit but don't expect much else".

So I think 1 !C - 1 !D - X - 1 !S - X should show four spades. Bit then what is 1 !C - 1 !D - X - 1 !S - 2 !S?  Maybe it should be !S shortness and a !H fit but I am not sure that it is.

Working on mysteries without any clues.


Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: Masse24 on January 31, 2022, 03:42:02 PM
A couple of other confusing points from this month.

On H the auction went

1 !S 1NT
2 !H 3 !H
4 !D 4 !H

What is 4 !D? Ok, back up to what was 3 !H? After 1 !S - 1NT - 2 !H it could be that NS have a !H fit, n has an 11 count, S has a 17 count. Or 18 count. It also could be that N has a 6 count and S has a 12 count.And anywhere in-between. Maybe we clearly want to play in 4 !H, maybe we clearly don't, and maybe we need 3 !H to be invitational with, say, a 10 count.

Now if 3 !h is invitational, what is 4 !D? Is S saying "Well, 2 !H was passable, and 3 !H was invitational,  but now that we have found this fit let's bid a slam"? Possible, but another case of not likely. But I suppose that's what it was.

That's exactly how I interpreted it.

Since the 2 !H rebid is wide-ranging (11-17 or even 18), then responder is obligated to cater to the high end with appropriate values. Say . . . a good 8 to 11. So 4 !D must be a slam probe.

Exactly what it shows is anyone's guess. But apparently opener needs help in clubs and presumably responder to be at the top of his range to go higher.

Best guess is some sort of 5=4=2=2 and 17 HCP.

So assuming responder to be near the bottom of his range (9 HCP?), that leaves partner with around 8 HCP.
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: kenberg on January 31, 2022, 08:24:01 PM

Enough dithering, this is it

Ken Berg
320 Quail
Sykesville MD 21784
U.S.A.

PROBLEM A: Pass
PROBLEM B: 3 Hearts
PROBLEM C: 2 Diamonds
PROBLEM D: Pass
PROBLEM E: 3 Notrump
PROBLEM F: 5 Clubs
PROBLEM G: 4 Hearts
PROBLEM H: Club Ace
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: yleexotee on January 31, 2022, 08:33:39 PM

PROBLEM A: 5 Clubs
PROBLEM B: 4 Hearts
PROBLEM C: 2 Spades
PROBLEM D: Pass
PROBLEM E: Pass
PROBLEM F: 3 Clubs
PROBLEM G: 4 Hearts
PROBLEM H: Club Ace
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: jcreech on January 31, 2022, 09:51:03 PM
SOLUTIONS FOR:
James Creech

FREDERICKSBURG VA 22407
U.S.A.

PROBLEM A: 4 Clubs
PROBLEM B: 3 Hearts
PROBLEM C: 3 Diamonds  Only change.  Although still a splinter, to be accurate, I am making a jump cue-bid, not a jump reverse.  If the opponents had not bid the suit, then it would be a jump reverse with the same meaning.  I would rather be showing my void first, but as Blu pointed out, the chance of partner misconstruing is much higher with an immediate bid of spades than diamonds.
PROBLEM D: Pass
PROBLEM E: Pass
PROBLEM F: Pass
PROBLEM G: 4 Hearts
PROBLEM H: Club Ace
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: wackojack on January 31, 2022, 10:10:50 PM
SOLUTIONS FOR:
Jack Goody
Guildford
England

PROBLEM A: 4 Clubs
PROBLEM B: 3 Hearts
PROBLEM C: 4 Diamonds
PROBLEM D: Pass
PROBLEM E: 3 Notrump
PROBLEM F: 3 Clubs
PROBLEM G: 3 Hearts
PROBLEM H: Club Ace
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: kenberg on February 01, 2022, 02:08:49 PM
With not all that much to do I checked in on what others did with F. Unsurprisingly, I am the only nut choosing 5 !C. I did not expect it to be a popular choice. A little insanity now and then is good for a person. I'll stick with it.
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: jcreech on February 01, 2022, 07:05:10 PM
March Results

Two in a row for Masse24, who won this month and made the honor roll. 

NAMEBW-SCORERANKMPs
Masse24     720   1   30
WackoJack     670   2   15
BabsG     650   3   10
BluBayou     650   3   10



Also participating this month were:  CCR3, Duffer66, FleuretteD, Hoki, JCreech, KenBerg, MsPhola, Peuco, VeeRee, VeredK, YleeXotee.

Congratulations to all!
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: Masse24 on February 02, 2022, 05:35:56 PM
Although not the most difficult problem, I thought Problem C was the most fun. Clearly there were going to be many possible answers. With cuebids and splinters and raises available at many levels. But the panel answers shown, in addition to the additional answers that scored are a joke. The director (I think it will be Kokish this month) saw fit to include 33 total answers receiving a score. These "scoring" responses included:
I suppose some of the low level non-forcing bids are a bit of a tactical gambit intending some high-level competing later.
But 7 level? Of anything? There were others equally ridiculous.

What a joke. The explanations should be priceless.  :o
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: blubayou on February 03, 2022, 03:09:04 AM
This is the 2nd time in a year that somebody's robot "autofill subroutine" escaped from its cage and awarded every possible call  not already discussed  a 20.  Besides the question "How can this happen",  is also  "WHO told the robot to use "20"??    But now let's look at the 3-vote winning call  which was 4 spades.   Is this exclusion rkc FOR HEARTS?  why / how??  mebbe  for CLUBS-- ok/fine  but that's not a winning answer to my mind,  unless mor than 3 panelists support it.  One of our hero contributors spoke the words 'exclusion KC" I definitely remember, but that post seems deleted.   Anyway  give that man  a 100 on problem C  for even getting in the ballpark!
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: jcreech on February 03, 2022, 04:21:01 AM
I am with Jock on this, as much as I hate to admit it.  4 !S simply does not make any sense as the winning call.  It may be an exclusion RKC for clubs, but hearts is the more important suit to have as the trump suit.  I would be more worried that partner would take it as the ultimate psyche reveal and pass in preference to clubs.  The bid is more fraught with danger without clear understandings than almost any other possibility.  At least 2 !S, you are playing two levels lower and partner may take a bid as a failsafe.
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: Masse24 on February 03, 2022, 04:52:31 AM
4 !S was the first call (then 3 !S too) that came to mind for me, but I had no guts. I was afraid of the possibility it might be construed as natural. Which is why I went with the "other" splinter.

Why would 4 !S be exclusion . . . but for clubs? If you assume it is exclusion--hearts is trump.

As I mentioned upthread, fun hand.
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: jcreech on February 03, 2022, 01:53:21 PM
Todd - only three had the "guts" as you call it.  To me, the bid was way too far into the gray area, so I would not make the bid at the table, and consequently was unwilling to make the call in the contest.  Clearly, the moderator agreed with the choice and interpretation, and could justify the 100 on the large proportion of the Panel wanting to make a move toward slam.  Given all of that, I do not understand why 4 !H would get the 2nd place 90 other than it was the plurality choice (deity forbid that 5 votes ever made up a MSC plurality).  Under the logic that dictated 4 !S deserved the 100, then surely the same logic would declare that 4 !H is a relative give-up and deserved less than 90.  But then, if looking for consistency, I am reminded that MSC is not the place to look.
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: kenberg on February 03, 2022, 03:32:07 PM
As mentioned earlier, bidding involves judgments and agreements. I don't often get dealt a 0=5=1=7 shape and if I do, the auction probably will not begin as this one has. So I have no agreements, except perhaps inferred agreements. MSC can highlight places where agreements could be improved upon, my judgment is and will remain a problem.

So take something simpler. 1 !C - (1 !D) - X (majors) - (1 !S) - X. What is X? I can tell you from experience that not everyone will answer this in the same way. I think it makes sense to play it as showing four spades. Maybe I also have a seven card club suit, usually I won't also have a seven card club suit, but X says I have four spades and we go on from there.

The meaning of the X in the sequence 1 !C - (1 !D) - X (majors) - (1 !S) - X, whatever that meaning is, will come up far more often than the meaning of 4 !S in the sequence  1 !C - (1 !D) - X (majors) - (1 !S) - 4 !S. Both sequences could use an agreement when they come up, but we start by preparing for those issues that regularly arise. When I prepare to play in the Bermuda Bowl I will perhaps (or not) ask pard how he would interpret 1 !C - (1 !D) - X (majors) - (1 !S) - 4 !S.
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: kenberg on February 03, 2022, 05:42:11 PM
Todd - only three had the "guts" as you call it.  To me, the bid was way too far into the gray area, so I would not make the bid at the table, and consequently was unwilling to make the call in the contest.  Clearly, the moderator agreed with the choice and interpretation, and could justify the 100 on the large proportion of the Panel wanting to make a move toward slam.  Given all of that, I do not understand why 4 !H would get the 2nd place 90 other than it was the plurality choice (deity forbid that 5 votes ever made up a MSC plurality).  Under the logic that dictated 4 !S deserved the 100, then surely the same logic would declare that 4 !H is a relative give-up and deserved less than 90.  But then, if looking for consistency, I am reminded that MSC is not the place to look.

My attempt at mind-reading. Suppose I, for assigning points, decide:

Well, it's about 50-50 whether we should try for slam. But whichever we do, we must do it briskly. So those who want to try for slam and do it briskly with 4 !S will get a good score, and those who decide not to try for slam and do that briskly with 4 !H will get a good score, and those who think "Oh maybe I will and maybe I won't", they will get a lesser score.

That's my ESP effort for the day.
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: Masse24 on February 03, 2022, 07:02:17 PM
We've had this sort of inconsistency before.

I agree with Jim. If the 4 !S bid (however defined but clearly a slam move) received the top score, the other slam moves should be close behind. Instead, the director wedges a timid 4 !H ahead of all other slam moves.

That makes no sense to me.

Again.
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: blubayou on February 03, 2022, 08:09:52 PM
In defense of timid rebids,  with my giant lack  of both diamond and spades such a hand is well set up for some 'walk the dog' action, EXCEPT  the dog walker usually has a better idea of what the successful outcome will be  than I do here.   It's curious  that just below 4 !H  and a handful of spliter rebids, 2 !H , 3 !H , 5 !H  AND  6 !H   all were awarded 70s  (Or was the runnaway robot scorekeeper excercising "judgement"?)
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: kenberg on February 03, 2022, 09:01:12 PM
I wasn't saying I agree with the scoring, I was making a guess as to what the thinking could be. Inconsistent, yes, probably.

Now what should 4 !S be? I think, as you say, it must be exclusion key card with hearts as trump. The alternative would be: I opened 1 !C, not 2 !C, and after partner has shown the majors with no promise of great values or of any clubs  I for some reason have decided to make a slam try in clubs. Seems crazy. So at least it seems to be a slam try in hearts and if so that would seem to make it be exclusion.

I guess it could be interesting to say what the meaning is, directly over the 1 !S call, of X, of 2 !S, of 3 !S and of 4 !S.  I can hope that 5 !S will never be bid directly over 1 !S.
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: blubayou on February 04, 2022, 12:47:43 PM
Ten of us,  including all the contenders took a 50 on problem D (either doubling or passing 2 !D .
 The panel hopefully will teach us something in their comments about Problem D!  None of us made even a tiny squeek about bidding 2 !H  or 2NT over opp's runout to 2 !D .  Apparently 14 or more of them agree with me that North has the best hand here and..(1) can play and make in openers suit when he is also short in diamonds
                                                   (2) can segue to 2S when he is 4=4=1=4
                                                   (3) can take the notrump successfully when we had them murdered in 2D
These guys don't vote to PLAY in the enemies opening major very often, so I am very interested in finding out what moved 14 of them to come up with "2 Hearts".  Perhaps they just couldn't stand to settle for +50/+100 defending 2D?
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: kenberg on February 04, 2022, 02:17:15 PM
D: MSC stipulates that X would be for penalties and I am definitely not up for that. My guess is that each of the four hands is somewhere around 9-11 highs. Probably Lho has 11 or maybe 10, I think partner has maybe 10 or 11, holding 4 spades (someone has to hold 4) but also 3 or 4 hearts. For his double he has to be prepared for a Pass on his left and a 2C call by me, but maybe it's just Ax trusting/hoping that if I bid 2C then either I will have 5 clubs and can cope or else they will rebid something. And here they did rebid something, 2D, even before I bid my clubs.

Letting the opponents play at the 2 level is not popular but it is sometimes right.

Also, I have no idea what 2 !H is supposed to show. Is it one of those "Do Something Intelligent" bids? I tell my partners that asking me to do something intelligent is extremely risky.
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: blubayou on February 04, 2022, 03:51:46 PM
opener is 3rd hand light,  and his pard is running for his life.  partner is TRAPPING.   There is no 'balancing'  double  of  "1X, ...,1NT" with random eleven-counts, as you will agree if you think back to the many times  you were actually in that position.  The fact that our panel is sallyng forth with OUR  "random nine-count" into diety knows what contract show that they to expect the good stuff to be in north.
  It will ruin my week if their comments aren't delicious, and orbiting around this idea.
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: jcreech on February 04, 2022, 06:28:11 PM
My thinking about bidding 2 !H was that it showed a good hand for my previous passing, and was inviting a NT partial or game.  I didn't think the hand was good enough for that, so I didn't make the bid.  So clearly, I was not on the same track as Jock.  However, with Jxx, I could tolerate partner passing - I may not be happy, but I should be able to tolerate.
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: Masse24 on February 04, 2022, 09:25:36 PM
On "D," I was in the 80% of solvers who chose either 3 !C or Pass. Almost a coin flip and, in the end, I chose the lower scoring option of Pass, figuring I could not get hurt too badly most of the time. Other calls I barely glanced at. The top scoring 2 !H was my 5th choice.

Oh well.  :-[
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: kenberg on February 05, 2022, 01:42:35 AM
On "D," I was in the 80% of solvers who chose either 3 !C or Pass. Almost a coin flip and, in the end, I chose the lower scoring option of Pass, figuring I could not get hurt too badly most of the time. Other calls I barely glanced at. The top scoring 2 !H was my 5th choice.

Oh well.  :-[

Pretty much identical to how I thought about it. I passed, later I thought oh maybe I should have bid 3 !C, but then noo, I am happy with pass.

Lack of imagination? Yeah, maybe, but there are times my partners would prefer that I go easy on imagination. It seemed like a hand where whoever ends up as declarer might well wish he hadn't.
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: jcreech on February 14, 2022, 03:48:57 PM
March MSC SUMMARY (Part 1a)– Eric Kokish, Director

Problem A 4 !C (FlueretteD, Duffer66, Masse24, JCreech, WackoJack, Hoki, CCR3, VeeRee)

Matchpoints  Both sides vulnerable
You, South, hold:

♠ 7 6 5   ♥ A 9 4   ♦ 10 3   ♣ A Q 9 8 7

SOUTH   WEST   NORTH   EAST
  ——      ——      ——       2 ♦*
 Pass      3 ♦†     Double    Pass
   ?         
*8-13 HCP; five-plus diamonds; may have four-
card major
†not invitational

What call do you make?

Eric Kokish, the moderator, wrote "It saddens me to report that when there is no good action, resorting to a cue-bid is far too often the expert choice."  With the help of Dusty Springfield, Barry Rigal sums up the problem nicely:  "... but today, wishin' and hopin' and thinkin' and prayin' won't get me into the right contract."

4 ♦   80   Bridge World Panel (BWP) 36%   Bridge World Solvers (BWS) 22%  Intermediate-Advanced Club (IAC) 1 Solver 
As indicated by the moderator, the plurality of the Panel went with the cue-bid.  For Joey Silver, "The hand is too strong to stop short of game.  I intend to bid five clubs over four hearts or pass four spades.  My reasoning is that partner may have only a four-card heart suit but would almost surely have five spades in order to bypass four hearts."  Richard Colker wants "To get partner to bid suits up the line and then to pass whichever major he bids.  If we have three sure losers (say two diamonds and a spade), the best game would be in a Moysian major." Similarly, Jeff Meckstroth "Will pass partner's bid - at least I won't need to play it.  I hope he has a five-card major."  Phillip Alder hasn't made a final decision yet:  "Do I hope partner has a five-card major (or can handle the four-three fit), do I plunge into five clubs?  It's matchpoints, and maybe we'll get lucky."  George Jacobs feels that "Bidding four clubs would be the sign of a person whose glass is less than half full.  It is far more likely that we belong in a major.  Partner could be five-four, but even if we wind up in a four-three fit, the opponents cannot tap us, at least not right away.  Pass would probably go plus, but matchpoints screams for action."

Pass   70   BWP 21%   BWS 25% IAC 13%
Although Zia cue-bid, he thinks "In a year or two, it will be shown it's right to pass.  Luckily, I won't be around."  Others base their decision on the form of scoring.  Billy Eisenberg:  "Five clubs would be normal at imps, but aiming at 200 seems better at matchpoints."  Pepsi thinks "Game is uncertain, so trying for plus 200 seems better at matchpoints."  KenBerg:  "It's matchpoints. I think the probability of making a game is less than 50-50, I think the probability of taking five tricks against 3D is better than 50-50. One of the problems about going for game is that even if there is a making game somewhere it is far from clear that we can sort out where it is."  Michael Lawrence says "I may have three tricks.  Or not.  I see no reliable route to a game, and since it is matchpoints against an aggressive style, passing and playing for 200 or 500 is reasonable."  Andrew Robson thinks "Part of the problem is:  If I don't pass, what do I bid?"  David Berkowitz is philosphic:  "So what if we beat them one (or none) cold for a zillion clubs?  Matchpoints is not played for comfort, and it's only a board."

5 ♣   60   BWP 14%   BWS 10%  IAC 1 Solver
For our moderator, "... the issue is choosing the correct number of clubs.  ... Five clubs did not attract much panel support, although it could be considered close to the value bid."  Danny Kleinman says "What I expect to make.  Four clubs won't get us there, nor to slam.  A four-diamond cue-bid will undoubtedly fetch four of a major from North, but that won't tell me whether he has four or five."  YleeXotee views the bid as a bit of a gamble:  "pard's X at the 3 level surely shows a bit more than minimum, 4C would be promising zero, so I'm taking my shot."  Barry Rigal wonders "If we played non-leaping Michaels, we might have some ingerences as to what kind of hand partner might or might not have." 

4 ♣   100   BWP 25%   BWS 41%  IAC 53%
Dan Gerstman thinks "The hand has pretty much what North will expect:  10 HCP, no four-card majjor.  Leaves him room to bid a major and doesn't commit us to defense opposite what may turn out to be only two defensive tricks.  Leaves me well-placed to bid four hearts over four diamonds.  I'll hand him by raising four of a major to five.  It's all worked out for the post-mortem."  Carl Hudecek writes similarly, "Denies a four-plus-card major, shows some values and club length - with a terrible hand, South would bid a three-card major." BluBayou based his decision of the LAW:  "Do we really have 9 clubs,  and they really  9  [or 10!] diamonds??   Then the LAW suggests we go on to 4 Clubs:  ( total number of trumps being 18= either they are making ,  or if holdable to 8 [7] tricks then we will make.  I have the sick feeling the TNT number is lower than this, or the the TNT guideline is off the rails this time, and we are both going set :( ." While others are just trying to preserve a plus position.  Jeff Rubens:  "Partner may fail to raise when we should be in game, but North must push in when short in diamonds, and it's important to protect against that possibility, even at the cost of missing some good game contracts."  A.K. Simon: "At matchpoints, I want to go plus.  This leaves the door open for partner."  Janice Seamon Molson:  "At matchpoints, I go low."  Paul Bordreau:  "Partner hoped I had a major, I'm giving him some leeway at matchpoints."  JCreech brings experience to the auction while still expressing frustration:  "I have played this form of two-bid (when I do, we call them action twos).  They can be very effective and hard to bid defensively on.  So I hate coming up against the bid, as I am here.  Partner has doubled, I suspect we are just shy of game values.  I cannot show strength and keep us out of game, so I have to guess between a possible Moysian, when there may be a 5-3 major-suit fit, 3NT without holding the stopper myself, or bid 4 !C and hope partner converts with five in one of the majors."  Masse24:  "I know the panel is aggressive, so am a little concerned about 4 !D appealing to the panel. But I’m not going to bury partner for competing. So 4 !C."  While Hoki is trying to project a bit more values than attempting a signoff with a lower bid in a major:  "with less I'd try and sign off in a major; this allows pard to bid four
of a major while inviting 5♣."

Here the plurality cue-bid did not get the top score, nor did the game bid, or even what could be an aggressive conversion of the double from takeout to penalty.  Instead, it went to what might be considered to be the safer middle ground of a partscore bid, and violation of the rule of the coyote.  Even though I benefitted from this decision, it seems to fly in the face of MSC scoring norms; but I will take it as recompense for other scoring slights.






Problem B  Pass (VeredK, VeeRee BluBayou, Duffer66)
Imps  North-South vulnerable

You, South, hold:

♠ Q J 3   ♥ A 8 7 2   ♦ J 7 4 3   ♣ Q 6

SOUTH   WEST   NORTH   EAST
  ——      ——      ——        3 ♦
  Pass      Pass    Double    Pass
   ?         
What call do you make?

Another MSC scoring anomaly?  This time we have a tie between two votes.  Usually, the tie break goes in favor of the one matching the tendency of other votes.  Here the tendency is toward bidding game (or more), yet the top went to Pass when the vulnerability is unfavorable (so you have to work harder in order to earn a set the exceeds the game).

Pass   100   BWP 25%   6%  IAC 27%
Those that pass view it as the middle ground.  Kit Woolsey, for example, thinks "We figure to defeat the contract at least a couple of tricks, more if partner has extras.  Game our way looks uncertain.  At this vulnerability, East might be frisky."  Zia writes "Passing a double of a preempt came sooner than I expected.  I would bid something, but, as that would be three notrump, I hedge."  Sami Kehela points out that "It will not be easy to determine strain and level, but three notrump is a close second choice."  Andrew Robson:  "I'm not bidding (only) three hearts, that's for sure.  I'm either passing and leading the queen of spades or gambling on three notrump - but if three notrump is on, we'll probably get 500."  Michael Lawrence:  "If I were sure that parner had four hearts, I would bid (only) three hearts.  As it is, I have an excellent lead against three diamonds (spade queen) and potential in clubs along with the ace of hearts."  BluBayou makes two predictions when making his selection "All alone, except for HOKI  [side bet]  I  ---Pass, for blood---"  Wrong on both counts - he was not alone within IAC, but Hoki was not not among them - now all we have to do is figure out where to send the BBO bucks.

3 NT   90   BWP 18%   BWS 24%  IAC 14%
The gambler's choice is 3NT.  David Berkowitz asks "Have you seen what passes for a white-versus-red three-diamond bid these days?  The softish values suggest notrump.  The winner here is always pass, but the colors got me."  Janice Seamon Molson:  "Soft values outside of hearts lends to notrump.  If the diamond suit doesn't block the long diamond hand almost certainly won't have an entry."  Peuco says "tilting towards 3NT as opposed to 4H. When non vul vs vul they preempt on nothing and six carders"  Chris Willenken feels there is "Too much strength not to bid game.  Pass is not my thing with all the secondary black-suit values.  Three notrump has many ways to make; four hearts only one."  Danny Kleinman thinks the hand "Too strong for three hearts, suit too weak for four hearts.  Three notrump figures to make often; when it doesn't, bidding it may induce partner to bid the game that does."  Meanwhile, Masse24 gets one of his choices from TGBH:  "Whisper from Hamman."

4 ♥   80   BWP 25%   BWS 37%  IAC 20%
The other game of choice is four hearts.  Bart Bramley thinks it "Scary with these hearts, but the black fillers indicate that game will be okay opposite most North hands with four hearts and a stiff diamond."  YleeXotee:  "finding game with 10 points. These aren't always going to make but I'll take my chances over the ops preempts these days"  Phillip Alder wrote "At matchpoints, I might pass, but that seems too likely to yield only 100 or 300 when we can make a vulnerable game.  I am not exactly in love with four hearts on only a four-card suit, three notrump will probably be beat if West has only one diamond."  Richard Colker acknowledges it as "A guess, but imp odds favor a brave sheep over a timid lamb.  If we land in a four-three fit, hearts is the right major to reach (ruffing diamonds in the short hand)."  Talking about the flip side, Dan Gerstman says he "Can't risk trying for the five-three fit when we may end up in a four-three spade fit where the long hand is being tapped."  But then, as Barry Rigal points out "It's only a game ... and everything's fun, fun, fun ..."

3 ♥   70   BWP 18%   BWS 28%  IAC 40%
Taking the low road Carl Hudecek points out that "Partner may have stretched to reopen, so I won't punish him.  The chance of poor-splitting suits looms large."  JCreech "This is one of the worst 10-counts that I have seen.  I am not trotting 3 NT on a J-fourth stopper, and not jumping to 4 !H on a potential Moysian with bad breaks.  If we belong higher, maybe partner has the extras to make the move."  Michael Becker says "I am unwilling to bid more with weak hearts and soft values.  I would expect to score 100 or 300 against three diamonds doubled, but partner may have enough to bid again."  Philippe Cronier:  "Not enough power to bid game.  Partner's strength and diamond length are not clear, and even a three-level contract could be difficult if we don't find an eight-card fit.  At matchpoints, I would pass.  Here, three hearts seems less dangerous, giving North the opportunity to act again."  Hoki is a bit concerned that the opponents might make:  "it's not inconceivable that the opponents can make their contract if partner is balancing aggressively with a diamond singleton or void."  KenBerg:  "Partner's balancing double is based on the assumption/hope that I have something. I have something, but not all that much more than something."

4 ♦   70   BWP 11%   BWS 4%  IAC No Solvers
George Jacobs clearly points to the parallel:  "See Problem A.  After a pedestrian three hearts, would partner ever believe I had a useful 10-count?  Bidding three notrump with a thin stopper when we might have an eight- or nine-card fit would be masterminding.  Four hearts would be too committal."  Jeff Meckstroth says "Partner should pick hearts with equal major lengths, and agains I won't need to be the declarer."  Joey Silver thinks "With 9 working points and seeing the possibility of a vulnerable-game bonus, I ain't stopping in a partscore."

Paul Boudreau sums this problem up nicely:  "Lots of uncomfortable choices."
 



Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: jcreech on February 14, 2022, 03:54:25 PM
March MSC SUMMARY (Part 1b and Part 2a)– Eric Kokish, Director

Problem C proved to have too many Panelist choices, so I was forced to split it from Problems A and B.

Problem C  4 !S (None)

Imps  Neither side vulnerable
You, South, hold:

♠ —   ♥ K 9 6 4 3   ♦ 7   ♣ A K J 10 6 5 3

SOUTH   WEST   NORTH   EAST
  1 ♣        1       Double*  1 ♠
   ?         
*BWS: at least four-four in the majors

What call do you make?

Three in a row where the plurality-Panel choice failed to be given the top score.  This time, part of the reason is because the Panel split their choices among 11 bids. 

4 ♥   90   5   32  2
Let's start with the plurality.  One might take the 4 !H call as as a give up on slam.  Although it may be true for some (including those who expect the bidding to continue at the five-level), for example, A.K. Simon thinks "If partner's hearts are weak, we will lose heart tricks regardless of which suit we make trumps.  If West bids four spades and partner doubles, I will pull to five clubs."  Carl Hudecek: "Slam would be easy opposite a red ace, but I will be happy with a game.  I will reluctantly defer to partner if he doubles five spades."  Robert Wolff feels it is "An easy decision, even though a heart slam (even a grand) could be cold."  Others are not as certain.  Chris Willenken: "The bidding probably isn't over.  After four spades-pass-pass-?.  I'll try five diamonds."  BluBayou asks "do we need something sexier than plain old 4 Hearts on void, Kxxxx, x, AKJxxxx?  Probably yes,  but for starters, that's my bid"  But Barry Rigal has a different concern: "I want to get the extra shape, not strength across; a cue-bid would show something different and let the opponents get together more easily.  I plan to keep on truckin' till the ooponents double."

2 ♠   70   BWP 7%   BWP 10%  IAC 40%
The plurality choice for IAC was the spade cue-bid.  YleeXotee says "Presumably, this is a good heart raise. MSC has not been kind to these kinds of bids, but its what I would do in real life to see if we have slam or something."  Sami Kehela agrees, though he also wants to keep the clubs in play:  "Despite the five-card support, clubs may be a more-productive trump suit, particularly if slam is contemplated.  Space is required for maximum exploration; a three-spade splinter, though tempting, would defeat this purpose."  Hoki thinks "we are far too strong to sign off in game, so I'm going slowly but have no idea how the auction will actually proceed but I can certainly follow up with a club cue bid later - and if that is going to torture partner, then so be it."

2 ♦   70   BWP 7%   BWS 17%  IAC 1 Solver
The other low-level cue-bid is 2 !D.  Bart Bramley thinks "Slam is okay opposite the heart ace and out.  I can guess to bid that at any time, but I might as well go slow to improve the chance of finding out for sure.  I'm not too worried about the opponents, who are unlikely to bid a lot of spades into a known bad split; if they bid a lot of diamonds, I can bid more hearts."  KenBerg expects "This auction will be competitive. I am prepared to bid hearts at the 5 level if need be and I am thinking that bidding 4H and then, later, 5H doesn't do justice to this hand. There is a question of what various bids mean. It seems to me that if the auction begins 1 !C - (1 !D) - X - (1 !S) then double by opener of the 1 !S should say "Had my Rho not come in here, I would have been pleased to bid 1 !S. Suppose I have, say, a 12 or 13 count and a decent four card spade suit. If that spade bid on my left is real, I don't really want to play in 2 !S and get a 5-0 trump split. It seems better to just have X show that 13 count with four spades. Partner will then cope."  While Billy Eisenberg is planning his follow-up:  "I intend to bid five hearts, asking for good trumps."  (Rich Colker has a different interpretation of this sequence, Billy.  An interpretation I happen to agree with, but he can speak for himself in the next section.)

5 ♥   70   BWP 11%   BWS 11%  IAC No Solvers
Among those eschewing the slow approach are:  Richard Colker who "Asks about trump quality (a cue-bid followed by five hearts would focus on control of the uncued suit)."  Peuco agrees: "Pd: if you have good Hs bid 6"  While Kit Woolsey thinks "It is necessary to make a move.  Even if this gets us too high, it might be a good save against four spades or five diamonds.  Partner will look at his trump holding first."  And Danny Kleinman "North may not be able to judge what he needs to bid slam (though strong hearts will make it easy), but West may not know what he needs to lead."  I think of this bid as asking for two of the top three before proceeding to slam, but with a nine-card fit, just the ace may be good enough.

4 ♠   100   BWP 11%   BWS 2%  IAC No Solvers
Another bid that eats space is 4 !S which also received the top score.  Philippe Cronier described it as "Exclusion-ask for hearts.  It's probably impossible to stay below the five-level, and the aces question is the most-important issue."  While Michael Lawrence has a different concern:  "This has the fault of indicating a diamond lead."  The moderator did take a moment to discuss this bid:  "Four spades is an honest bid, and it may survive a one-key reply if North's trumps are not very weak.  It's the easiest way to stay out of an ace-flawed six or to reach a good seven opposite two keys and the heart queen or length-equivalent."

4 ♦   80   BWP 14%   BWS 7%  IAC 13%
Now for the splinters.  (Although 4 !S is a form of splinter, it is also so much more.)  Masse24 says "Splinter now. Later, maybe spades. Fun hand."  Paul Boudreau plans a similar auction: "I will bid four spades over four hearts and hope for reasonable hearts opposite."  Andrew Robson identifies the other splinter but choses to  show the short diamonds:  "Three spades would be a splinter, too, but the psych-exposing gremlines are in my head."  Pepsi has a different reason to show the diamond shortness:  "The correct bid is three spade, but I doubt that the opponents will let us play in four hearts or allow us to bid freely.  I am hoping to encourage a spade lead."  George Jacobs "The issue is that even though partner showed spades, the opponents are about to barrage us with spades and diamonds, and we will lose bidding room anyway.  When I continue with five or six hearts, my intentions will be clear.  Opposite ace-fifth of hearts, slam is virtually cold; and North could have more.  This hand is a player, and I cannot be outbid." 

3 ♦   80   BWP 1 Panelist   BWS 3%  IAC 1 Solver
Nonetheless, I find 4 !D to be the misdescriptive splinter.  A jump cue-bid is a splinter, so a double-jump cue-bid should be a void splinter.  This would apply to spades as well 4 !S were below the heart game (which it is not).  JCreech says "I would rather be showing my void first, but as Blu pointed out, the chance of partner misconstruing is much higher with an immediate bid of spades than diamonds."  Jeff Meckstroth simply "Will await further developments."
 
3 ♠   80   BWP 7%   BWS 6%  IAC 1 Solver
David Berkowitz choses the spade splinter: "I will commit to five hearts and leave the rest to partner.  I have a feeling that the winning bid is six hearts, which will probably transfer the opponents into six spades."

2 ♥   70   BWP 11%   BWS 3%  IAC 13%
The bid that felt wrong when I set about answering the quiz, makes more sense to me in hindsight.  I viewed 2 !H as simply a non-forcing preference, but did not take into account that the auction was unlikely to ever end that low.  Joey Silver thinks "This is the right time to take Fido for a walk he is not for sale for under 12 hearts.  With the villians holding nine spades and who knows how many diamonds, there is no way that two hearts will end the auction."  Jeff Rubens is "Hoping to hear further unpressured descriptions of the other hands before I make our side's final decision (as, very likely, I will need to do)."  While Zia says "Let's see how many spades or diamonds East-West want to bid and how partner reacts.  There is a case for bidding clubs, but there is also a case for lots of tactical moves on this freak."

3 ♥   70   BWP 1 Panelist   BWS 5%  IAC No Solvers
There is similar thinking about a jump-raise of hearts.  The advantage is that partner knows you clearly have hearts with him.  Michael Becker writes:  "Not likely to be passed out, as the opponents have a double fit.  More likely, partner will bid four hearts.  If all goes well, I will make a surprise raise to five hearts, asking for good trumps.  If East-West bid four spades, I'll be forced to bid five diamonds to try for slam.  I'm not concerned about immediately specifying a shortness, since the opening lead may be a spade in any case."

George Jacobs took a moment after Problem C, to point out: "This is a cool set, as I can answer four diamonds to all of the problems." 
 
This concludes Part 1.  Sorry I had to make the split, but I will get to the rest as quickly as possible.




Problem D  2 !H (None)

Matchpoints  Neither side vulnerable
You, South, hold:

♠ Q 9 3   ♥ J 6 2   ♦ Q 5   ♣ K J 6 5 3

SOUTH   WEST   NORTH   EAST
  ——      ——      ——      Pass
  Pass      1 ♥      Pass      1 NT
  Pass      Pass    Double    2 ♦
   ?*         
*BWS: double = penalty

What call do you make?

Ok, this is an unusual auction and deserves some thought and reverse engineering.  West opened in third seat and then passed a semi-forcing 1 NT.  The pass indicates a balanced minimum, so I am guessing 10+ to 13- with either five hearts or a lead-directing four.  East does not have a heart fit, but does have diamond length and less than opening strength.  East-West probably do not have the balance of power, but it is not quite clear how much less.  North passed over 1 !H, and then made a reopening double of 1 NT; which suggests heart length/strength and values.  If partner has the strength for a 1 NT overcall, then there must be shape issues.  If partner is balanced, then the strength is less than a 15+ to 18.  How best can we communicate the nature of our hand to a partner who has not exactly been reticent about their own shape and strength?

Pass   50   BWP 11%   BWS 29%  IAC 67%
The simplest choice would be to pass.  This was majority choice for IAC.  YleeXotee exclaimed, "I actually wrote down Pass  ??"  Michael Lawrence thinks "The hand is too lousy to venture three clubs.  It's possible we could not set one notrump.  Could two hearts be the winner?"  Carl Hudecek bemoaned, "Partner passed in his first turn Where am I going (except set) with this quackery?"  Peuco agreed: "why Pd did not X previously? i do not see good HCP bec he has probably 3 Ss and he did not X. Only way to good HCP is he has 5 Hs, not very likely. My hand seems suited for defense so i Pass"  JCreech says "Who knows what is going on.  It sounds like partner has hearts and values.  I certainly do not have a penalty double of diamonds, and I don't think partner is inviting me to bid."  I can practically see Masse24 shaking his head, muttering to himself: "Difficult choice. What could partner have? Opps do not have a heart fit, so I assume three hearts with partner. No direct seat double, so probably not four spades. Is partner 33(43)? Opener must then be approximately 4522? Partner should have at least three clubs. So we have a fit. But if it’s only 5-3, do I want to play it at the three level?"  Hoki wishes for a different system:  "I would normally double but BWS's modern system doesn't allow us to make this most flexible of bids."  While KenBerg studiously goes through his own reconstruction: "What's up? First, who has four spades? Partner I think. With long !D and four !S I think E would have bid 1 !S rather than 1NT. W might have four !S but he has five !H so, while possibly he has four, my guess it is partner that does. Now what about the hearts? on this auction, with my three card !H holding, it seems pard must have at least three !H and my guess is four. I only have two !D. Maybe that have a bunch but if they do they will probably go on to 3 !D over my 3 !C, and if they don't have a lot of !D then pard has some, and that doesn't give him many clubs. I suppose he has three for his double, but that doesn't mean we should compete to 3 !C. my guess is his shape is 4=4=2=3 with modes values. I'm for letting them play 2 !D"

2 NT   80   BWP 14%   BWS 4%  IAC No Solvers
You could communicate your shape and approximate values by bidding 2 NT.  Jeff Rubens  wants to "Maintain some flexibility while showing values."  Bart Bramley feels that "Partner has shown good hearts and a strong hand, but his holding is limited by failure to overcall one notrump.  I can't double with only a doubleton, and at these colors I can't pass when it's our deal.  Notrump will often be best, and playing from my side is right when the ace and king are split between LHO and partner."  Michael Becker thinks "Partner has four hearts and probably four spades.  It's our deal, so I should bid something.  A penalty double with soft values and three hearts cannot be right.  I'll hope that partner has three diamonds to a top honor, all that is needed to make notrump the right strain."  While Kit Woolsey "... can't imagine scoring many matchpoints by passing, and we might not defeat two diamonds.  This is a decent value bid, and I hope that notrump is a playable strain."

3 ♣   70   BWP 18%   BWS 51%  IAC 20%
Some of the experts apply the LAW.  A.K. Simon says, "I figure partner is 3=4=3=3, yielding a total of 16 trumps, so we bid to the three-level." Similarly, Dan Gerstman writes, "I figure partner is 3=4=3=3, yielding a total of 16 trumps, so we bid to the three-level."  Robert Wolff response seems more like a shrug:  "Why not?  Yes, you are right.  But so what?"  And Billy Eisenberg simply "Can't sell to two diamonds."  While Phillip Alder chooses the bid due to an uncertainty:  "I would prefer two hearts if confident that partner would take it as natural."

2 ♥   100   BWP 50%   BWS 8%  IAC No solvers
The Panel plurality never occurred to IAC.  Many pointed to the fact that North was willing to make the penalty pass of 1 !H, but only a few even speculated while selecting something else.  Buying into this view wholeheartedly, Joey Silver writes. "North has shown a strong hand with hearts; being a good partner, I'll support him."  Similarly, David Berkowitz says "I'll let North in on the fit; as diamonds can be ruffed in my hand, this should play okay."  As does Janice Seamon Molson: "Partner has hearts.  I hope five."  More realistically, Danny Kleinman thinks "East didn't open two diamonds, yet he ran to two diamonds - why?  I suppose that he has a weak diamond hand with a void, or perhaps a low singleton, in hearts, also suggested by North's pass and back-in double."  Barry Rigal: "Double would be penalty, but I will try to find a fit, which might be in hearts.  I don't know what we've got 'til it's gone."  Jeff Meckstroth: "Must act and can't double."  Pepsi: "If North passes, I will be happy."  Zia: "Might end here."  Andrew Robson: "A bid for all seasons."  Philippe Cronier: "If North doesn't want to play here, he will be able to bid two spades or two notrump."  Except for his first comment, George Jacobs may have the most accurate assessment: "I may be an outlier here and receive a score of negative 10.  Partner wants a heart lead, and a lot of clues point to his having five hearts.  I would need four spades to bid two spades, and bidding three clubs would lose hearts forever.  If this goes well, I will score three firsts:  playing in the opponents' suit, having a maximum, and not bidding four diamonds."

Oops, it happened again (too much writeup for the posting area) - but this time I had a place to stick part of the write-up.  Part 2b is coming very shortly.
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: jcreech on February 19, 2022, 11:31:45 PM
March MSC SUMMARY (Part 2b)– Eric Kokish, Director


Before you go too far, I had to split Part 2 as well.  I added Problem D to the previous discussion and renamed the section to be both Part 1b and Part 2a.  If you want to see the grimy details about Problem D, you will need to back up briefly.  Meanwhile, on to Part 2b.



Problem E  3 NT  (Peuco, Duffer66, BluBayou, FlueretteD, VeeRee, VeredK, KenBerg, WackoJack, Masse24)

Imps  Neither side vulnerable
You, South, hold:

♠ A 7 5 3   ♥ J 9 4   ♦ 10 6 3   ♣ Q 9 2

SOUTH   WEST   NORTH   EAST
  ——      ——       1 ♣        Pass
  1 ♠       Pass       3 ♣       Pass
   ?         
What call do you make?

I'm not sure whether this hand is "how lucky do you feel?" or "how desperate are you for the game bonus?"  It doesn't really matter, but either you push a lot, push gently or don't push at all.

Pass   70   BWP 25%   BWS 33%  IAC 40%
Starting with those that did not push at all.  Barry Rigal sums up the position nicely: "Going plus has not yet gone out of fashion; gambling on running clubs and finding a stopper in each red suit is far too much to ask for a nonvulnerable game.  We might make three clubs and not three notrump.  They may do it over there, but we don't do it here."  Hoki says "my hand made a minimum response and opener's jump is clearly based on a distributional hand. I don't have more than what I said."  Michael Becker: "Three clubs is more likely to make than anything higher.  Our only chance for game is in notrump, where playing from partner's side would be preferable; it may need a helpful lead, a four-four break in the suit led, or a perfect hand from partner.  If I bid three of a red suit, I'd be awkwardly placed if partner bid three spades, and three of a red suit might be doubled."  JCreech thinks, "Partner is not using my bid as a springboard to 3NT and did not manufacture a reverse, so I think it is time to pull in my horns and go quietly."  Phillip Alder asks "If I do not pass, what do I do instead?  Plow into three notrump with no red-suit stopper?"  Michael Lawrence is clearly worried: "The hand has little to recommend declaring three notrump from my side.  If the defense should lead spades, I would like even less.  I don't see a bid that would help sort this out."  Danny Kleinman points out, it's a "Nice club filler, but nothing else to like about this hand.  Game is unlikely, and three clubs may be the last making contract."  Andrew Robson suggested that "If three notrump could be made, partner might have bid it."  While YleeXotee simply said "and then it happened again  Pass ??"

3 ♦   70   BWP 21%   BWS 6%  IAC No solvers
Trying to find the bid that helps sort this out (Mike Lawrence's dilemma), some try the unbid suits - partly to right-side the contract, and partly because they are not ready to give up on the game bonus.  Bart Bramley describes the attempt as "Trying to transfer to three notrump, not only to protect North's holdings but to put East, who couldn't overcall, on lead - he may have less of an idea than West which suit to attack."  Pepsi says, "In matchpoints, I would pass.  Here, we face a guess - thee notrump could be cold or have no play."  Jeff Meckstroth is "Not ready to give up on game."  Carl Hudecek says "I want to reach three notrump, but partner must be the declarer."  And Janice Seamon Molson points out that "The queen of clubs is huge.  With three notrump in the picture, I must bid."

3 ♥   80   BWP 14%   BWS 5%  IAC No solvers
Typically the choice of trial bids is a matter of either a tell or ask.  I think that BWS is based on tells - showing where you have some values, rather than asking if partner has some values, in the bid suit.  Here, there is nothing to tell in either red suit, and a need to ask in both.  C'est la vie.  Apparently, David Berkowtiz thinks of Jxx as a stopper: "With two aces (the queen of clubs is an ace on this auction, isn't it?).  I show my red-suit stopper."  Jeff Rubens and Bart Bramley (bidding 3 !D in the previous section) think alike "Hoping to transfer the notrump.  Does not suggest spades and hearts (unless I later show strength), because I did not respond two of a major."  George Jacobs "According to the Beatty All Low Level Simulator (BALLS), the likelihood of partner's having king-low in the other is high.  I cannot bid three notrump, in case he has king-low of diamonds."  Paul Boudreau "Probing for three notrump and hoping that the opponents are not listening."
 

3 NT   100   BWP 32%   BWS 43%  IAC 60%
If the clubs run, the partnership has seven tricks, with enough possible tricks that nine may be there.  Whether the nine tricks are only in clubs, with a trump suit, or also in NT is anyone's guess at this point in the auction.  Those taking the chance follow:  BluBayou brings in a bit of history:  "In the 1950's,  Shenken wrote in his book debuting 'the Big Club'  "If your system cannot get you to 3NT with a running 6-carder plus 3 aces,  revise that system!"   What I see here is close enough for me to  that kind of 3NT"  And Zia brings in the rule: "In tribute to Bob Hamman, who would find this easy.  Of course, it's right to pass ... in theory, but stealing is more fun, and bidding a red 'stopper' might help the leader."  KenBerg: "Well, it's imps. Nobody vul but still it's 400 if it makes. At matchpoints I would pass. Probably less than a 50% shot of making."  Masse24 "WTP? Partner should have !C AKJxxx at a minimum for the jump in clubs. Staring at the queen in my hand means they run. Crossing fingers (hey, it works) partner has the red suits controlled."  VeredK is "hopeful"  Robert Wolff thinks "At imps, why not?  All intangibles are positive."  Peuco "What else?"  Chris Willenken is pragmatic:   "There is no smart way to problem so I'll bid what I think I can make.  Could be wrongsided."  While Joey Silver brings us full circle:  "Chances are if there are nine tricks in clubs (and there may not be), there will be nine tricks in notrump, so we might as well go for the meager nonvulnerable game bonus."





Problem F  3 !C  (MsPhola, Hoki, CCR3, Duffer66, FleueretteD, BluBayou, Masse24, WackoJack)

Matchpoints  Neither side vulnerable
You, South, hold:

♠ A Q 9 4   ♥ —   ♦ K Q 10 6 4   ♣ K Q 9 3

SOUTH   WEST   NORTH   EAST
  1 ♦       1 ♠       Double     2 ♠
   ?*         
*BWS: double = cooperative-takeout

What call do you make?

For lack of a better method to approach this Problem, I am simply working backwards from the worst scoring choice to the best.

2 NT   50   BWP 11%   BWS 9%  IAC No solvers
To me, to bid NT at my first or second opportunity tends to show a balanced hand.  Void in hearts, I would never make that bid, however, we had a few from the Panel making this choice.  Phillip Alder thinks it "Promises extra values, because I could pass."  Billy Eisenberg wants to "Give partner a chance to show something."  While Richard Colker says "I hope that partner won't bid hearts (unlikely, as three hearts last round would have been preemptive).  I'll pay off to a heart lead, perhaps failing when five clubs has decent play."  Bidding 2NT may show extra values, but I do not think it necessarily gives partner a chance to show something.  What it does do, is show the spade stopper.

Pass   50   BWP 1 Panelist   BWS 9%  IAC 33%
Although not the top choice by IAC, Pass drew a third of our votes.  Andrew Robson argues that "Partner, with only one spade, won't pass.  Whatever he does, I'll be pleased to have passed, as I will have learned more."  JCreech says "Why do I feel like I am in deja vu situation?  Here I am in a non-forcing pass auction, thinking that I want partner to reopen with a double - just like last month.  Oh, but I doubled last month because it should have been clear that it was not "cooperative-takeout" like it is this time."  The nature of the direct double should make it more imperative that partner consider reopening with spade shortness.  I think this choice got the short shrift from the scorer, and not just because I made the choice for myself.

Double   60   BWP 14%   BWS 8%  IAC No solvers
Joey Silver has a good plan after doubling:  "I don't expect partner to pass, but this should be a good first step toward finding out how enthusiastic he is about his minor-suit holdings.  I intend to bid three notrump over three hearts or three spades over three of a minor."  Others are not as well thought-out, but feel the need to take some action:  David Berkowitz: "I will bid four clubs over partner's three hearts.  This hand is too strong for a weak action."  George Jacobs: "Not notrump, as the opponents may attack hearts; and I will need at least one ace from partner to run one long suit and then to set up the other.  The hand is minor -oriented, and doubling gives partner a chance to show one.  With a minor-suit fit, we will make a lot of tricks."  Unrealistically, Carl Hudecek says "I hope North passes.  If I bid notrump, North might persist in hearts." 

3 ♠   80   BWP 7%   BWS 1%  IAC No solvers
A few Panelists cue-bid.  Chris Willenken says "Feels like a slam.  Double followed by four clubs over three hearts would be 1=3=5=4."  And Robert Wolff plans his auction with, "Then five clubs over four hearts or slam over a minor."  My concern is that the cue-bid might be construed as support for hearts, and what happens if partner prefers hearts to the minor at the six -level?

5 ♣   80   BWP 1 Panelist   BWS 1%  IAC 1 solver
Bidding 5 !C probably gives up on slam, but it does clearly say that I am not interested in your hearts.  Bart Bramley thinks "North shouldn't have, e.g., 1=6=3=3 with all the strength in hearts, so I expect good support for at least one minor.  Opposite a minor-suit ace, we will have only one immediate loser, but I have a lot of spaced to take care of.  When slam is right, partner might bid it.  Not a cue-bid, because I want to become the declarer in clubs."  While KenBerg writes "Again, what's going on. I have no hearts. I am betting pard has five or six. And so too weak to bid 2 !H. Probably at most one !S. We should have a minor suit fit and a play for 5m. I suppose I could be cautious and bid only 4 !C,  Maybe I will. I'll think about it."  The problem is if Bart is correct about the shape, will partner correct to diamonds because some will open 1 !D with either 4=5 or 5=4 in the minors and cannot be certain which will be the 5=3 and which will be the Moysian.

4 ♣   90   BWP 14%   BWS 6%  IAC No solvers
If I were to bid, I agree with Kit Woolsey: "Looks like the value bid.  This hand doesn't look much like notrump."  Still, even though it shows my values, will partner move with the appropriate minimum.  For example, A.K. Simon points out that "... slam (is) likely opposite as little as:  ♠ x   ♥ Jxxx   ♦ Axxx   ♣ Jxxx."  And Michael Lawrence "I expect to find North with four-plus cards in one of the minors.  If he has (a carefully selected hand):  ♠ 2   ♥ 7653   ♦ A43   ♣ A8765, we have a likely grand."  Although partner will move with Lawrence's hypothetical, finding the auction to seven is beyond me.  If I made the bid, I would join Janice Seamon Molson's "Wish I had a fifth club."

3 ♣   100   BWP 43%   BWS 58%  IAC 47%
The winning bid seems to be an underbid to me (but who am I to say that having chosen to pass, risking a pass from partner as well).   Masse24 describes the impression well: "Pass feels wrong. Hate the void. 3 !C is an underbid of sorts, but what else?"  Sami Kehela clarifies somewhat:  "An underbid, perhaps, but the spades seem to be poorly placed, and there figures to be some serious heart wastage."  Dan Gerstman pragmatically says, "I suspect North is short in spades and will bid again, after which I'll try three notrump.  Should he pass, this will be better than three notrump."  And Philippe Cronier is "Showing minors to avoid partner's three hearts.  If North is strong and raises, the hand is not so bad.  I might be able to double three spades."  Hoki thinks "maybe I'm overlooking something but this looks to be obvious."  BluBayou tries to outsmart partner: "I expect I will have to fight off  a heart rebid  from partner, so let's let him get that out of his system at the 3-level by bidding 3C now.  Then my 3NT may be left in peace.  It's not all rosy, though--imagine 3C  going swish, and dummy coming with a perfectly ordinary ...x, J9xxx, Axx, Axxx!  Down 1  in  7 clubs--ouch."  Danny Kleinman clearly fears what the continuation would be after a pass:  "About what partner will visualize.  I'd expect to beat two spades, but we won't get rich defending at 50 a trick."  Jeff Meckstroth is "Hoping for more bidding."  While Paul Boudreau says "At least it's a freely-made bid." 

If your goal is to reach 3 NT with a void in hearts, perhaps Jock's plan of letting partner get his weak-hand 3 !H off his chest plan is best.  However, if you assume that partner is short in spades and your direct double cannot be penalty (cooperative at best when partner has 0 or 1 trump), then partner has a responsibility to help protect your opening hand by not selling out to 2 !S.  Nonetheless, 4 !C is probably the most honest bid to make on this hand.



These are coming out painfully slow, but they are coming out.  Bear with me and we will see the end of this month.
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: jcreech on February 21, 2022, 11:36:46 PM
March MSC SUMMARY (Part 3)– Eric Kokish, Director

Or should I say Part 4 after adding another section.


Problem G  4 !H (BabsG, YleeXotee, CCR3, Peuco, VeredK, JCreech, Masse24, KenBerg, MsPhola)

Imps  North-South vulnerable
You, South, hold:

♠ A K 10 8 4   ♥ K J 4   ♦ A Q 4   ♣ J 2

SOUTH   WEST   NORTH   EAST
  1 ♠      Pass      1 NT      Pass
  2 NT     Pass     3 ♦*      Pass
   ?         
*BWS: hearts

What call do you make?

Not much of a choice here.  Either you accept the transfer, or you find a way to superaccept the transfer.

3 ♥   70   BWP 11%   BWS 31%  IAC 20%
For those simply accepting the transfer, the argument is essentially that my hand has relinquished captaincy and North is steering the ship at this point.  Hoki is simply "doing what pard asked for."  BluBayou believes "Obeying orders wins over superaccept or anything else one thinks of--A horror thought for me "  A.K. Simon writes "Let's not get carried away.  Partner knows more about my hand than I know about his."  Chris Willenken points out that "Partner could be light here.  Looks straightforward."  Dan Gerstman thinks "Yeah, it's a three-and-a-half heart hand, but the jack of clubs is unlikely to pull any weight, and North knows it's imps.  Partner may have more than game values.  Maybe he'll bid four clubs, after which I would have room for four diamonds, neither of which would be available after an immediate four hearts."  KenBerg gives partner a chance:  "How many hearts does that 3 !D bid show? No need to be sure just yet. I have three !H and if pard raises 3 !H to 4 !H maybe that's right even if he has only four. The opponents can cash a couple of clubs after which I could well have ten tricks. If over 3 !H pard bids 3NT I will assume he has only four hearts and thinks that unless I have four hearts we should give it a shot in 3NT."  Michael Becker valuation is "This is an average two-notrump bid that has improved when partner showed hearts.  To drive to game (or control-bids) requires a near 'superaccept.'  This hand does not quite make that grade.  If I did accept, I would bid four clubs to allow for partner to make a retransfer (not Last Train) four-diamond bid.  Also, four clubs might accidently deter a club lead agains game or slam, which might be crucial for success."

4 ♥   100   BWP 79%   BWS 63%  IAC 60%
A solid majority of solvers and an overwhelming majority of Panelists decided that if partner was transferring, then they would bid game.  Richard Colker argues that "When game could make opposite little more than queen-sixth of hearts, it's hard to justify taking the low road, especially at imps."  Zia agrees, "When queen-sixth offers a play, it's not partner's job to bid game."  VeredK thinks "partner limited himself"  Masse24 says "Have a ruffing value, so the jump is warranted. Playing in 3 !H is too risky to simply reply at the three level. Anything stronger (I did contemplate 4 !D) is unwarranted."  Michael Lawrence says "Good hand, good fit, little chance of slam.  Even if partner was hoping to buy the contract in three hearts, we may have a chance."  JCreech writes "Partner is generally showing long hearts and a weak hand, but not that weak - with club shortness and nice heart fillers, let's give the vulnerable game at imps a shot."  Janice Seamon Molson:  "If the jack of clubs were the jack of spades, I would control-bid.  If partner would have passed three hearts, so be it."  Andrew Robson is "Not playing for a perfecto for six hearts but rightsiding four hearts."  Some are like Joey Silver:  "I am more worried about missing a slam than about being too high in game."  But Barry Rigal sums up the general thoughts on this problem well:  "Yes, partner might want to stop in three hearts; I just don't care."
 



Problem H  !C A  (YleeXotee, Masse24, WackoJack, BluBayou, FlueretteD, JCreech, KenBerg)

Imps  Neither side vulnerable
You, South, hold:

♠ 9 6 3   ♥ 2   ♦ 10 9 8 5   ♣ A Q 8 7 6

SOUTH   WEST   NORTH   EAST
  ——      ——       ——       1 ♠
  Pass      1 NT      Pass      2 ♥
  Pass      3 ♥        Pass       4 ♦
  Pass      4 ♥      (All Pass)

What is your opening lead?

There are three lines of thought about how to start the defense on this Problem.  One line is that the opponents have shortness that they will be exploiting for tricks - these led a trump.  A second is that a passive defense is needed and that a diamond represented the safest lead available.  The third is based on a forcing defense, so that declarer eventually loses control because a defender has more trump.

♥ 2   60   BWP 7%   BWS 13%  IAC 27%
Concern for declarer ruffing to make the contract was found more often among the IAC than the Bridge World solvers and Panelists.  Michael Becker thinks There are tiny prospects of beating the contract.  East must have a lot of shape but not enough high cards to jump-shift, so he's probably bidding his shortness rather than his fragment.  Anyway, if he is short in clubs, our cause is probably hopeless.  I'm playing declarer for 5=5=0=3 with king-third of clubs.  If I hit partner's major-suit ace, he can lead a club through and get a ruff.  East is more likely to bid this way missing the heart ace than the spade ace, so I lead a trump."  Sami Kehela made the lead, but felt he was "Unlikely to have much company."

♦ 10   70   BWP 25%   BWS 38%  IAC 27%
There was greater interest across the board to lead a safe diamond.  VeredK points out that it is "a passive lead"  Pepsi simply said "Looks like the natural lead."  Hoki chose his lead "pretty much by elimination."  And given the  bridge-players tendency to lead from sequences, the diamond suit certainly fills the bill.  Billy Eisenberg thinks, "Should be a popular lead."  Kit Woolsey:  "Safe, and it could establish a trick or two.  I don't see any other route to defeating this contract."  Jeff Rubens:  "Spade situation looks too negative for a trump lead."  Peuco says that the "4D seems a phony bid to me. Both opps bidding cautiously and suddenly 4D"  BluBayou agrees:  "opp's 4 !D  is declared an attempted swindle--to get some fool to open up clubs.  WTG, Zia!"

♣ A   100   BWP 54%   BWS 44%  IAC 47%
The preponderance of evidence says a club is right, but which one.  More than half of the Panel and nearly that many of the solvers think it should be the ace.  Andrew Robson thinks it "Uninspired, but my spade holding is uninspiring."  While Paul Boudreau follows directions:  "They told me to lead clubs; I will honor the request."  KenBerg:  "Declarer will be tossing some minors on his spades, I think we need to get all the minor suit tricks that we can and then we see what we get in hearts. I might think more about this also, but the !CA seems right."  More pragmatically, David Berkowitz wants "To see dummy and discover what I should have led.  With spades and diamonds lying well, a tap may be our best chance."  JCreech agrees:  "RHO sounds short in clubs, so maybe this is the time to lay down an ace for a peak."  Meanwhile, the bulk of the commentary is all about the tap.  Phillip Alder says "It sounds as if declarer is 5=4=3=1 or 5=4=4=0.  If so, maybe we can tap him. Then he might not be able to cope with what I hope is a four-one trump split."  Jeff Meckstroth:  "Trying to defeat the contract with a force against a four-four fit."  Joey Silver: "Chances are that East has a dearth of clubs.  We need partner partner to have four trumps, so a forcing defense is indicated."  Michael Lawrence:  "Any other lead loses the opportunity to tap declarer and isn't as potentially rewarding."  Masse24:  "I also like the underlead of my !C AQxxx. Certainly the hero lead if partner has Kx. But I have no guts. I hate lead problems!"

♣ Q   70   BWP 1 Panelist   BWS 0%  IAC No solver
It did not occur to me to try the unsupported Q, but that was Chris Willenken's lead:  "Let's get the tap going; maybe declarer won't cover from king-low-low-low."  I've been here before - it is right to underlead the ace three times, except I fell from grace on the third lead (but it did not involve holding the unsupported queen).

♣ 6   90   BWP 7%   BWS 3%  IAC No solver
The more sensible small club was rewarded in the scoring.  Michael Becker's analysis is that "There are tiny prospects of beating the contract.  East has made a surprising slam-try.  My strength is in the suit of declarer's marked void.  Spades are breaking well.  Spades and diamonds appear to be onside.  For the defense to have any chance at all, partner needs four trumps.  I hope dummy has the club king, so that some of partner's honors are working for us.  If partner has the club jack (or if declarer plays the nine from king-jack-nine-low), I can make East uncomfortable by leading a low club.  He will not fly with the king.  In any case, anyone who leads the club ae should prefer to lead low (from odd)."  Similarly, Philippe Cronier thinks "The only explanation of the four-diamond bid opposite a nonforcing raise is a very-unbalanced hand, 5=5=0=3 or 6=5=0=2.  To cope with king-low in clubs with North, a low club seems to be a good idea."


This concludes the March set.  In some ways, it felt like an appropriate set for the month - in like a lion (with Problems that the commentary felt out of control) and out like a lamb, with a couple of Problems that had a great deal of agreement amongst the Panelists and solvers.  I hope you found the discussion interesting and worth the time reading.  Until next month's write-up, good luck on the April problems.
Title: Re: 2022 March MSC
Post by: blubayou on February 22, 2022, 01:50:14 AM
JIM!   Thanks for this fun review :D .  I get quoted a lot because I jabber a lot, BUT  in part three both quotes reflect my MOST HORRIBLE POSSIBLE winning vote candidates--which fortunately  did not do so well!  And two in part 1or2  came from my very early thoughts.  Both of those turned out to be the 100 scorers but in the end I abandoned them for the "90" answers.   This happens a lot,  and often the change of heart costs mor than mere 10 points--right, folks?