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Messages - jcreech

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661
IAC & Master Solvers Club / Re: Master Solvers Club
« on: December 08, 2018, 11:54:01 PM »
Also pulled trigger:  No change from where I last was at, so let the chips fall where they may.

SOLVER: James Creech
        Gen Allen VA
        U.S.A.

Your Solutions for the January 2019 Contest 
-------------------
PROBLEM A: 2 Diamonds
PROBLEM B: 3 Hearts
PROBLEM C: 4 Spades
PROBLEM D: 2 Hearts
PROBLEM E: Pass
PROBLEM F: 1 Notrump
PROBLEM G: 4 Notrump
PROBLEM H: Diamond 10

662
IAC & Master Solvers Club / Re: Master Solvers Club
« on: December 08, 2018, 01:55:25 AM »
These are my preliminary thoughts (with what I am leaning toward at the start of each).  Like Todd, I am still mulling over my final answer, and will submit by Sunday night).  This is the first time I have used the specific agreements mentioned by BW, and I hate thinking that I like the suggestions - so I will be trying hard to find something I like better for problems A and G.

Problem A:  2 !D  The bid is non-forcing, it provides a reasonable lead director, I have 9 HCPs, and with Jx in !S I can tolerate a return to partner’s suit.

Problem B:  3 !H Part of my problem is that I anticipate partner rebid to show a weak hand with long !C s.  That means that a jump shift into !D is likely an overbid.  Similarly, 3 !H feels like an underbid until considering the anticipation.   

Problem C: 4 !S  Having bid over 3NT, I consider this to be a slam try still looking for the best strain.  This completes my pattern with an inference of extras.   

Problem D:  2 !H  I have working cards in both of partner’s suits, the ace of my suit, and a stiff !H.  I may not have the HCPs, but I do have the playing points.  Partner’s bid over 4SF may clarify everything or continue to muddy the water. also caters to the 4-5 opening to avoid a reverse without enough value.  Partner may give me a belated raise, though I think partner is much more likely to have a stiff !S on this auction (and given my hand) than three.  Perhaps pard will clarify which minor is longer.

Problem E:  Pass  I assume that 2 !C is non-forcing because partner is a passed hand and Problem A.  Partner should not introduce a new suit under these circumstances without five.  Although the suit or hand was not good enough to overcall directly, it should play reasonably opposite my hand.

Problem F:  1NT Choice between 1NT, double and 1 !S.  1 NT  tends to show more of my hand than the other bids – it shows my values and !C stopper, where 1 !S undervalues the hand and make it hard to recover and dbl may end up overvaluing my hand, particularly if I bid my !S over the anticipated !H call from partner.

Problem G:  4 NT  With partner bidding !D and RHO pre-empting in my stiff, I think partner has a real suit and asking for keycards will answer a lot of questions that can be answered.  I already know that we have a combined holding of 30+ HCPs, and the vulnerability suggests that most of partner’s HCP’s will not be in !S.  Let’s go with the known fit, and not worry about the !H s.

Problem H:  10 !D  I often like leading aces against slams – read that it was a winning proposition most of the time.  This time, it is at best a 50% shot that the trick will not be ruffed, and could easily set up a couple of pitches for declarer at the same time. 

663
IAC Matters / Re: Why I Want to Be a Member of IAC
« on: November 21, 2018, 04:18:22 PM »
I think the email is meant to warn those who have not participated to either participate, or let someone from IAC know not to remove them from the list.

I too have gotten the BBO email, but:
1. I joined this year
2. I have made contributions on the forums here
3. I have attended and/or participated in classes held by Dave, Arik and WOB
4. I have participated in the Dare tourney's and occasional Spur team games.

So I should not be at risk, but still received the email. 


664
IAC & Master Solvers Club / Re: Master Solvers Club
« on: November 10, 2018, 11:57:47 PM »
Your Solutions for the December 2018 Contest 
-------------------
PROBLEM A: 3 Spades  - 50
PROBLEM B: 3 Notrump - 60
PROBLEM C: 2 Diamonds - 40
PROBLEM D: 5 Notrump - 60
PROBLEM E: Double - 100
PROBLEM F: Double - 90
PROBLEM G: Heart 10 - 80
PROBLEM H: Club Ace - 100
                                  580

What a brutal set.  Very few had second choices that scored 80 or better.  Under the circumstances, I am happy with a 580.  All of my selections were within the top three.. In the November contest, selecting the third choice across the board would have been a 560; this month with the same choice you would get a 410.

Congrats to Todd!!!  Second in the overall standings is fantastic, particularly on this set. WTG!

665
Sleight of Hand / Re: From the lesson
« on: November 07, 2018, 09:30:27 PM »
In the context of an Angel Blue set of hands, you are right; the KQ !D should be expected to be in the LHO's hand for the endplay.

In an ordinary game setting, though, I think you need to have the K !D lead in order to take that view.  I have a friend, who playing with Brian Platnick (back when Brian was a junior player), played for a squeeze over a finesse.  When the hand was over, Brian said to play with the percentages.  When the bidding, play, or circumstances indicates that the squeeze is more appropriate, go with the squeeze.  When you don't have that sort of information, go with the finesse.  In other words, I would take the 50% shot over what I consider to be a lesser percentage play.

In this hand, without the extra information of the K !D lead, you would not have a good reason to play LHO for both !D honors.  You might be willing to play for split honors, and hope that LHO will rise for the endplay. But I suspect that would fail against most pairs.

As I look at the hand, I keep wondering things like, would LHO find the unblock if you were to play the K !H first?  If the !D honors were split and LHO rose with the Q, would RHO overtake to lead the !C?

Thank you for sharing this. 

666
IAC & Master Solvers Club / Re: Master Solvers Club
« on: November 07, 2018, 01:13:36 AM »
Your Solutions for the December 2018 Contest 
-------------------
PROBLEM A: 3 Spades  - I think this is the value bid and I am a bit concerned with using partner's !D's with KQ tight.
PROBLEM B: 3 Notrump - given the auction I have to live with, I will try signing off.  I wonder a bit if there might be a safe !D game or even a slam possibility.
PROBLEM C: 2 Diamonds - I don't quite have the shape of Problem A, but do have the strength.  I think the cue might be the right continuation, with a !S bid next.
PROBLEM D: 5 Notrump - With 4 NT natural, I feel like 5 NT should be forcing to slam, with an uncertain strain - pick a slam partner.
PROBLEM E: Double - an imperfect takeout, but you have to work with what you have.
PROBLEM F: Double - an imperfect negative double, but I think it shows where I have values and makes it easier to find NT.  If partner bids !H 's, I've played in worse Moysian fits.
PROBLEM G: Heart 10 - The A !C would give me a peek, and that was very tempting, but I felt like the broken sequence might have more chances to succeed.  I am hoping that if I am wrong, I will get a chance to try !C 's when I get in with the K !D.   
PROBLEM H: Club Ace - In the face of a preempt, I like to see the dummy before proceeding. 

667
Sleight of Hand / An efficient defense - d*** it (corrected bidding)
« on: October 27, 2018, 11:29:26 PM »
Dlr: South
Vul: None

          North
           !S KJ6
           !H AT62
           !D J7
           !C T932

West                    East
 !S T82                 !S  A9754
 !H 954                 !H  Q
 !D T95423            !D  AQ8
 !C J                     !C  A876

          South
           !S Q3
           !H KJ873
           !D K6
           !C KQ54

Auction:
South   West    North     East     
  1 !H        P      4 !H      Dbl
    P          P        P

This was an unmitigated disaster.  It started when I could not remember whether we played 3 !C or 3 !D as the four-card constructive raise, so I took a flyer at game.  I have made worse bids, but who would have anticipated the consequences.  If had mad the proper bid, we probably would have still been in game, but undoubled.

Although I could guess that West might double, I never dreamed that East would pass with a near Yarborough and an unshown 6-bagger, AND that it would be right!

If partner had dropped the K or Q on the opening !C lead, there is a slim chance that East would have switched to another suit.  I doubt it, since switching to the A !D would have brought discouragement, and the !C was the only other reasonable continuation.  So the defense efficiently took the first six tricks, with West scoring all three trump.

When I looked at the “traveler,”  it was an interesting list of results.  One shared my fate, three played in spades (from 3 making to 5 doubled down 2), the rest played in hearts (from 3 to 5).  There were three that played in game making – one with a spade lead and continuation, one with a club lead with a spade shift plus continuation, and the last was a club lead with a diamond shift and continuation.  C’est la bridge.

668
Sleight of Hand / Re: A strange Gambling 3NT
« on: October 27, 2018, 11:11:37 PM »
I've also played mini-Roman.  The alert clearly said both majors, but I also mis-remembered the opener's call - it was 2 !H.  It said nothing about other suits.  Below, that bid is consistent with the first profile.  It is interesting that with as much (different) detail each profile has, neither says anything about an opening 3NT.

The profile for one player is:

Precision
1C=16+
Replies 1D=0-8 (if then 1H opener promise 19+ Points) Rest is Natural 16-18 Points
All other Replies are Game on and Bid till fit or 3NT
1D=11-15 (5 Clubs or 5 Diamonds)
1H=11-15 (5 Plus Hearts)
1S=11-15 (5 Plus Spades)
1NT=12-15 (Flat)
2C= 4 Clubs & 4 of any Major Weak 4-10 Points (2D reply asking for what Major)
2D= Transfer to Hearts 6+ Weak 4-10 Points
2H= Weak 4-10 Points both Majors (4+)
2S= Weak 4-10 Points 6+ Spades
Jump Overcall 10-14 points 6+ Suit

The other's profile:

1C=Maybe Short Club (Forcing)
1D=Maybe Short Diamond (Forcing)
1H=15+
1S=17+
1NT=19+
2C=21+
2D=23+
2H 6+ weak
2S 6+ weak

Weak 3 level 7  cards

669
Sleight of Hand / Re: A strange Gambling 3NT
« on: October 27, 2018, 03:42:45 AM »
That is a really interesting find - a good 6-5 in the majors.  Hmm. 

Yes, it was on BBO.  I guess I did not mention that one profile indicated England and the other Thailand, which may add to the mystery.  The next hand, the same person opened 2 !D with a 4-4-1-4 (showing both majors, 11-15) leading to another good result for them.  I finished the board, but left after that.  I decided that the bridge gods were not with me against this partnership.

I don't have to have good results.  One of my best lessons was watching the artistry of Soloway and Hamman drill me for seven boards in a regional swiss.  Nonetheless, I like to know more about what the system I am facing than this partnership was willing to share. Eight partially consistent lines of system notes in a profile with this pair was not enough - particularly, when you are trying to pull things together between bids and/or plays.

In the end, it became a story worth telling, but involved two people I put on "Ignore" for the future.  Thanks for sharing your insights and findings guys.

670
Sleight of Hand / A strange Gambling 3NT
« on: October 25, 2018, 08:17:12 PM »
Dlr: East
Vul: N-S

          North
           !S 83
           !H 63
           !D AQT9
           !C QJ852

West                    East
 !S 9                     !S  QJT62
 !H K975               !H  8
 !D 85                   !D  K6432
 !C AKT974            !C  63

          South
           !S AK754
           !H AQJT42
           !D J7
           !C

Auction:
East      South   West   North       
    P        3 NT       P           P
    P

I am submitting this hand largely because I found the bidding perplexing. 

The pair was playing some Precision variation (but I was unaware of that when this hand came up).  3NT was alerted as gambling, and even with my rag of a West hand, I thought about balancing 4 !S, because typically a gambling 3NT is a solid minor and I might get a lucky fit. 

I got lucky by not bidding and finding us in the middle of a buzz saw.

I got unlucky because they were in the only makeable game.

I wasn’t going to bother with the play because with that opening bid, that dummy, and profiles that indicated beginners, I was dizzy trying to figure out what declarer held.  I suspect partner was in the same boat.  However, the play was more advanced than I normally would attribute to a beginner. 

Essentially, partner started a top !C, then shifted to a low !H.  Declarer then passed the J !D,  which I ducked.  Next declarer led another !D, going up with the A, and now gave up a !H.  Normally, I expect a beginner to repeat a “proven” finesse.  Then if we can keep him off dummy, there are a total of five losers. 

Going up with the A !D assured the contract. 

671
IAC & Master Solvers Club / Re: Master Solvers Club
« on: October 19, 2018, 02:04:21 AM »
Sorry to vent, but maybe you are finding the December set more frustrating than most.  Personally, I hate this set.  I know that they are bidding problems, but this time half seemed to be out of the ordinary difficult. 

This set includes:
1.   The ordinary problem where you know what each choice means, and have to select the least lie;
2.   The devilish problem where you are not really certain what you choices mean, so it is trying to find the best truth; and
3.   Being hamstrung by a system or decision that you had no control over, and now have to find a reasonable solution.

The Problems:
A.    21 HCPs (though I am reducing this mentally a bit for the KQ !D) with a very nice 6 bagger.  I am torn between jumping in !s or making a cuebid.
B.   My big complaint with this problem is my second call.  Why didn’t I bid 2 !s (the impossible !S).   I think partner is bidding out shape, but would feel better about how I proceed if I had made it clear that my hand got much bigger with 2 !D.  It would be much more suggestive of my 5-card support than the immediate raise.
C.   Another 21 HCPs, another great !s suit and another flawed doubleton; this time a KJ in opener’s suit.  This time I am torn between a cuebid and 2 !S.
D.   This time it is the note that is my complaint.  Really, 4NT is specifically a natural bid, but otherwise undefined.
E.   At last – an ordinary 2-level balancing action.
F.   An ordinary interference with invitational values and no clear choice of action.
G.   Followed by an ordinary defensive problem – do you continue or switch, and if you switch, to what?
H.   And finally, an ordinary game-level preempt lead problem.

672
IAC & Master Solvers Club / Re: Master Solvers Club
« on: October 14, 2018, 01:17:02 AM »
I added my results for the November contest.  It looks like I got badly dinged for signaling when partner led the A !D and dummy showed up with the stiff K.  Otherwise, I feel pretty good about the results.

These are my entries for the November 2018 contest:


PROBLEM A: Double  90
PROBLEM B: 1 Notrump  100
PROBLEM C: 2 Notrump  100
PROBLEM D: (b2)    50
PROBLEM E: 3 Hearts  100
PROBLEM F: 5 Clubs  100
PROBLEM G: 4 Clubs  100
PROBLEM H: Club Ace  90

                                  730

673
Sleight of Hand / BBO Pet Peeve
« on: September 22, 2018, 12:05:49 PM »
Dlr: West
Vul: None

          North
           !S 82
           !H QJ
           !D AKQ97642
           !C K

West                    East
 !S 853                 !S  KJT74
 !H 9754               !H  AT
 !D 8                    !D  J
 !C A9742             !C  QJ863

          South
           !S AQ8
           !H K8632
           !D T53
           !C T5

Auction:
South   West   North     East   
 1 !D      1 !S    1 NT       P
 3 NT       P        P          P


Actually, I have at least two pet peeves reflected by this hand.

The first has to do with players who bail from a hand when they think they are facing a bad result.  I was West, and partner gave us the potential to have a great result by leading a !H.  I won the ace, and as I returned the !C 6, partner bailed.  My eventual partner won the ace, and made the no-win play of a the singleton !D.  Instead of being down 3, declarer now made overtricks. 

These bailers must think they can escape the bad result by being absent from the table.  It is not the way BBO works.  Once you are the first bidder in a particular auction, if the hand is played, the result attaches to that bidder.  You may as well stick around for the result.  It also is not far to your partner who has to play with a partner who is stepping into the middle of play.  Face to face, someone would provide a brief description of the play (but then the situation would only happen in the case of severe illness), but it doss not seem to ever happen in BBO.

My other peeve has to do with how these massive one-suiters get bid.  There is no consistency in describing good or bad hands.  in this instance, the opponent treated the hand like an ordinary opener, they took a reasonable flier when their partner showed a stopper after my overcall.  Earlier in the evening, I saw !S Ax !H A !D Axx !C AKQxxxx opened 5 !C, and then when my partner overcalled 5 !H, tried 6 !C with seven biddable after a 2 !C opener. 

Oh well, if you are not playing with a regular partner, what can you do?


674
Sleight of Hand / Re: Another missed opportunity
« on: September 20, 2018, 01:35:25 PM »
I thought about this hand a bit more, and realized that the simplest way to make the hand is to duck the J !C lead altogether.  The defense has no effective counter.

If East also ducks, the KQ can be used for a ruffing finesse later for the !D pitch and the !H can be ruffed as originally planned.  West cannot effectively start the trump.  And if East overtakes to lead a trump through, the !C KQ takes care of the red suit losers without needing the squeeze.

675
IAC & Master Solvers Club / Re: Master Solvers Club
« on: September 18, 2018, 02:27:47 PM »
These are my entries for the November 2018 contest:


PROBLEM A: Double
PROBLEM B: 1 Notrump
PROBLEM C: 2 Notrump
PROBLEM D: (b2) 
PROBLEM E: 3 Hearts
PROBLEM F: 5 Clubs
PROBLEM G: 4 Clubs
PROBLEM H: Club Ace


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