Probably I go down. That's the quick answer. And probably the right one.
I would still be wondering about the
4. Based on the play of the J at T1 I am assigning the T to my Rho. What
was played by Lho at T2?
I had been assuming, at T1, that the 4 was fourth best. Of course it could be from T42 i their agreement is to lead the 4 from that. or it could be from T84 or T54 if they lead low from that holding (assuming they would lead the suit at all). The bots would lead the 4 from T84 and T54, the 2 from T42. But humans have their own ideas.
Probably I stick with the original thought that the 4 was from a four, or five, card suit. Can I actually make this if Lho started with Hx / T854 / AJxx / xxx? Maybe so, although I might need help. Let's see. The first five tricks have been duck a
, take a
,
ot the 9,
back to hand,
to the J. I have taken four tricks and lost one. The cards now are (by assumption)
AJT83
none
3
jx
Hx Hxxx
T8 2
AJ none
xx Axx
xx
Ax
Kx
Qx
Edited Monday morning.
I am on the board. Suppose I lead small
toward my hand. Suppose Rho nicely takes the A and leads his third
. Now I think I am home. I take the
, my top
and then lead a
to the A and another
. At this point I have taken one spade, two hearts, two diamonds and two clubs. Who wins the
? If it is Lho then he is on lead holding one
and the
AJ. I will be getting a
. If it is Rho, he has one
and two
left. Moreover, Lho no longer has a high
since he started with only two. It doesn't help for Rho, when in with the
A, tp play another
. I can cash my high
creating the same end position. So he has to duck the
when I lead it from the board after I take the
Q. But this doesn't work for them either.
Now I have 5 tricks. I take the
A, that's 6 tricks, and lead a
to the J. Rho is in and has nothing but black cards. He can cash the remaining
but then leads a
. No matter whether he leads low or leads the H, I can force him to give me the A and another
.
I think this works, but it's 11:30 [Well, it was last night] so I will check it tomorrow {I diid, and made a change] . Of course it requires the distribution to be just right. If Lho signals an even number of !c on the first round of that suit I might re-think this. But not tonight.
I checked this line with the double dummy checker and, given the assumption that W started with Hx / T854 / AJxx / xxx, it works.
Fwiw: The error I made in last night's write-up was in saying that after I am on the board w the
J I lead the
J and, if Rho ducks, I come to my hand w a
. In the light of day I realized that after two rounds of
have been played I no longer have a
on the board! So I need to lead the small
from the boar, preserving transportation. Presumably, playing live, I would notice there are no more hearts on the board. I hope so! And last night I might have looked at the diagram!